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icon for Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ?

Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ?

icon for Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ?

Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ?

Oui

26% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

26% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). **Zohran Mamdani’s past as a rapper (Young Cardamom/Mr. Cardamom) is well-documented, with releases like the 2016 EP *Sidda Mukyaalo* and the 2019 single “Nani,” but he explicitly stepped away from recording upon entering politics in 2020.** Traders assign a 74.5% implied probability to “No” for any new official song release by the end of 2026 because his demanding role as New York City mayor since late 2025 leaves little room for a return to the studio, consistent with that earlier decision. No verified personal releases or active recording sessions have emerged since his pre-political catalog. A July 2025 track titled “MAMDANI” credits him only with songwriting and background vocals alongside other artists, and a rumored post-primary rap verse later that year was quickly debunked as fake. As mayor, Mamdani has stayed connected to music through public playlists (including Taylor Swift deep cuts and Ugandan/Pakistani artists), campaign anthems, and a 2026 citywide 2-K jingle contest judged with Cardi B, yet these are promotional or curatorial efforts rather than new original material under his name. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, and no announcements or industry signals pointing to fresh recordings, the current consensus reflects the practical barriers of his schedule and the absence of momentum toward a comeback. Any surprise official drop or confirmed studio work in the final months would be the clearest swing factor.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.

If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.

A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.

The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Volume
$126
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). **Zohran Mamdani’s past as a rapper (Young Cardamom/Mr. Cardamom) is well-documented, with releases like the 2016 EP *Sidda Mukyaalo* and the 2019 single “Nani,” but he explicitly stepped away from recording upon entering politics in 2020.** Traders assign a 74.5% implied probability to “No” for any new official song release by the end of 2026 because his demanding role as New York City mayor since late 2025 leaves little room for a return to the studio, consistent with that earlier decision. No verified personal releases or active recording sessions have emerged since his pre-political catalog. A July 2025 track titled “MAMDANI” credits him only with songwriting and background vocals alongside other artists, and a rumored post-primary rap verse later that year was quickly debunked as fake. As mayor, Mamdani has stayed connected to music through public playlists (including Taylor Swift deep cuts and Ugandan/Pakistani artists), campaign anthems, and a 2026 citywide 2-K jingle contest judged with Cardi B, yet these are promotional or curatorial efforts rather than new original material under his name. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, and no announcements or industry signals pointing to fresh recordings, the current consensus reflects the practical barriers of his schedule and the absence of momentum toward a comeback. Any surprise official drop or confirmed studio work in the final months would be the clearest swing factor.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.

If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.

A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.

The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Volume
$126
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).

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Questions fréquentes

« Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Zohran Mamdani sortira-t-il une autre chanson ? » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ? » est « Zohran Mamdani sortira-t-il une autre chanson ? » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Zohran Mamdani va-t-il sortir une autre chanson ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.