Cleveland Guardians hold a slim 53% implied probability edge over the Baltimore Orioles at 47% in trader consensus for Thursday's matchup at Progressive Field, driven by Guardians starter Parker Messick's dominant early form (2-0, 0.51 ERA over 17.2 innings) contrasting Orioles righty Shane Baz's inconsistency (0-1, 4.50 ERA in 16 innings). Baltimore's offense faces headwinds from a mounting injured list, including catcher Adley Rutschman (ankle, 10-day IL), first baseman Ryan Mountcastle (fractured foot, 60-day IL), outfielder Tyler O'Neill (concussion), and infielder Jackson Holliday (wrist soreness delaying rehab), with fresh updates yesterday confirming no quick returns for several key pieces. Both teams sit near .500 (Orioles 9-9, Guardians 10-8) with middling recent form—Orioles dropping two of three to Arizona, Guardians splitting road games—while Cleveland benefits from home-field edge and superior bullpen depth amid fewer frontline absences. Mild 68°F weather poses no major disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourThis market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.
This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.mlb.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.
This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.mlb.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cleveland Guardians hold a slim 53% implied probability edge over the Baltimore Orioles at 47% in trader consensus for Thursday's matchup at Progressive Field, driven by Guardians starter Parker Messick's dominant early form (2-0, 0.51 ERA over 17.2 innings) contrasting Orioles righty Shane Baz's inconsistency (0-1, 4.50 ERA in 16 innings). Baltimore's offense faces headwinds from a mounting injured list, including catcher Adley Rutschman (ankle, 10-day IL), first baseman Ryan Mountcastle (fractured foot, 60-day IL), outfielder Tyler O'Neill (concussion), and infielder Jackson Holliday (wrist soreness delaying rehab), with fresh updates yesterday confirming no quick returns for several key pieces. Both teams sit near .500 (Orioles 9-9, Guardians 10-8) with middling recent form—Orioles dropping two of three to Arizona, Guardians splitting road games—while Cleveland benefits from home-field edge and superior bullpen depth amid fewer frontline absences. Mild 68°F weather poses no major disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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