Spain edges France as the slim trader consensus favorite at 17.2% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting their flawless UEFA qualifying campaign and recent 3-0 friendly win over Serbia on March 27, while France sits close at 16.3% buoyed by consistent depth and power rankings dominance. England's 11.1% trails amid a 1-1 draw versus Uruguay, as defending champions Argentina (8.8%) and Brazil (8.5%) hold firm despite CONMEBOL's grueling 18-game marathon where Argentina topped standings at 38 points. The bunched top probabilities underscore a hyper-competitive 48-team field post-March playoffs—Sweden, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Czechia, and Turkiye advanced while Italy shockingly exited—amplified by expanded group stage dynamics, potential upsets, and seeding rules separating elite sides like Spain, France, England, and Argentina until semifinals or later, with two months remaining for injuries or form shifts to reshape the path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयास्पेन 17.2%
फ्रांस 16.3%
इंग्लैंड 11.1%
अर्जेंटीना 8.8%
$656,042,472 वॉल्यूम
$656,042,472 वॉल्यूम
स्पेन
17%
फ्रांस
16%
इंग्लैंड
11%
अर्जेंटीना
9%
ब्राज़ील
8%
पुर्तगाल
8%
जर्मनी
5%
नीदरलैंड
3%
नॉर्वे
2%
जापान
2%
बेल्जियम
2%
कोलंबिया
2%
मोरक्को
2%
अमेरिका
1%
मेक्सिको
1%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
1%
उरुग्वे
1%
क्रोएशिया
1%
तुर्किए
1%
इक्वाडोर
1%
सेनेगल
1%
कनाडा
1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
1%
स्वीडन
1%
पराग्वे
<1%
आइवरी कोस्ट
<1%
दक्षिण कोरिया
<1%
बोस्निया-हर्जेगोविना
<1%
स्कॉटलैंड
<1%
चेज़किया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
ईरान
<1%
घाना
<1%
अल्जीरिया
<1%
ट्यूनिशिया
<1%
पनामा
<1%
दक्षिण अफ्रीका
<1%
कांगो डीआर
<1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
न्यूज़ीलैंड
<1%
हैती
<1%
जॉर्डन
<1%
क्यूरासाओ
<1%
उज़्बेकिस्तान
<1%
इराक
<1%
केप वर्दे
<1%
कतर
<1%
स्पेन 17.2%
फ्रांस 16.3%
इंग्लैंड 11.1%
अर्जेंटीना 8.8%
$656,042,472 वॉल्यूम
$656,042,472 वॉल्यूम
स्पेन
17%
फ्रांस
16%
इंग्लैंड
11%
अर्जेंटीना
9%
ब्राज़ील
8%
पुर्तगाल
8%
जर्मनी
5%
नीदरलैंड
3%
नॉर्वे
2%
जापान
2%
बेल्जियम
2%
कोलंबिया
2%
मोरक्को
2%
अमेरिका
1%
मेक्सिको
1%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
1%
उरुग्वे
1%
क्रोएशिया
1%
तुर्किए
1%
इक्वाडोर
1%
सेनेगल
1%
कनाडा
1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
1%
स्वीडन
1%
पराग्वे
<1%
आइवरी कोस्ट
<1%
दक्षिण कोरिया
<1%
बोस्निया-हर्जेगोविना
<1%
स्कॉटलैंड
<1%
चेज़किया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
ईरान
<1%
घाना
<1%
अल्जीरिया
<1%
ट्यूनिशिया
<1%
पनामा
<1%
दक्षिण अफ्रीका
<1%
कांगो डीआर
<1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
न्यूज़ीलैंड
<1%
हैती
<1%
जॉर्डन
<1%
क्यूरासाओ
<1%
उज़्बेकिस्तान
<1%
इराक
<1%
केप वर्दे
<1%
कतर
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges France as the slim trader consensus favorite at 17.2% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting their flawless UEFA qualifying campaign and recent 3-0 friendly win over Serbia on March 27, while France sits close at 16.3% buoyed by consistent depth and power rankings dominance. England's 11.1% trails amid a 1-1 draw versus Uruguay, as defending champions Argentina (8.8%) and Brazil (8.5%) hold firm despite CONMEBOL's grueling 18-game marathon where Argentina topped standings at 38 points. The bunched top probabilities underscore a hyper-competitive 48-team field post-March playoffs—Sweden, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Czechia, and Turkiye advanced while Italy shockingly exited—amplified by expanded group stage dynamics, potential upsets, and seeding rules separating elite sides like Spain, France, England, and Argentina until semifinals or later, with two months remaining for injuries or form shifts to reshape the path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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