The tight clustering of probabilities around mid-range turnout bands for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary reflects competing pressures on voter participation. A high-profile contest featuring incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has boosted visibility and mobilization on both sides, yet Alaska’s all-party primary—advancing only the top four candidates to a November ranked-choice general—limits broader engagement compared with a closed partisan primary. Historical primary turnout patterns, combined with variable mail and early voting rates, create substantial uncertainty around the precise total, while recent polling averages showing a narrow Peltola lead have not produced a decisive surge or drop in expected ballots. Upcoming certification of results and any late mail ballots could still shift the final count within the contested ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया275K-290K 44%
2,45K-2,60K 43%
2.30 लाख - 2.45 लाख 43%
2.60 लाख - 2.75 लाख 43%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<2.30 लाख
42%
2.30 लाख - 2.45 लाख
43%
2,45K-2,60K
43%
2.60 लाख - 2.75 लाख
43%
275K-290K
44%
2.90 लाख - 3.05 लाख
43%
305K-320K
43%
3.2 लाख+
43%
275K-290K 44%
2,45K-2,60K 43%
2.30 लाख - 2.45 लाख 43%
2.60 लाख - 2.75 लाख 43%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<2.30 लाख
$0 वॉल्यूम
42%
2.30 लाख - 2.45 लाख
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
2,45K-2,60K
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
2.60 लाख - 2.75 लाख
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
275K-290K
$0 वॉल्यूम
44%
2.90 लाख - 3.05 लाख
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
305K-320K
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
3.2 लाख+
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities around mid-range turnout bands for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary reflects competing pressures on voter participation. A high-profile contest featuring incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has boosted visibility and mobilization on both sides, yet Alaska’s all-party primary—advancing only the top four candidates to a November ranked-choice general—limits broader engagement compared with a closed partisan primary. Historical primary turnout patterns, combined with variable mail and early voting rates, create substantial uncertainty around the precise total, while recent polling averages showing a narrow Peltola lead have not produced a decisive surge or drop in expected ballots. Upcoming certification of results and any late mail ballots could still shift the final count within the contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities around mid-range turnout bands for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary reflects competing pressures on voter participation. A high-profile contest featuring incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has boosted visibility and mobilization on both sides, yet Alaska’s all-party primary—advancing only the top four candidates to a November ranked-choice general—limits broader engagement compared with a closed partisan primary. Historical primary turnout patterns, combined with variable mail and early voting rates, create substantial uncertainty around the precise total, while recent polling averages showing a narrow Peltola lead have not produced a decisive surge or drop in expected ballots. Upcoming certification of results and any late mail ballots could still shift the final count within the contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of probabilities around mid-range turnout bands for Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary reflects competing pressures on voter participation. A high-profile contest featuring incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has boosted visibility and mobilization on both sides, yet Alaska’s all-party primary—advancing only the top four candidates to a November ranked-choice general—limits broader engagement compared with a closed partisan primary. Historical primary turnout patterns, combined with variable mail and early voting rates, create substantial uncertainty around the precise total, while recent polling averages showing a narrow Peltola lead have not produced a decisive surge or drop in expected ballots. Upcoming certification of results and any late mail ballots could still shift the final count within the contested ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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