Escalating Houthi threats to shutter the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—issued in early April 2026 amid U.S. naval restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran conflict—have reignited geopolitical risk premiums in global shipping and energy markets. Container freight rates surged, with Drewry's World Container Index climbing 1% to $2,309 per 40-foot unit as of April 9, while the Baltic Dry Index hit 2,484 points on April 15, reflecting heightened rerouting costs around Africa. Brent crude oscillates near $95–110 per barrel, pricing in potential 4–5 million barrels per day of disrupted oil flows if closure materializes per IMF PortWatch transit data. Trader consensus views full effective closure (≤10 daily ship arrivals) as unlikely near-term due to prior deterrence, but monitors Houthi missile activity and Gulf state responses as key swing factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य प्रभावी रूप से बंद हो गया...?
बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य प्रभावी रूप से बंद हो गया...?
$1,268,404 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
30 अप्रैल
8%
31 मई
15%
$1,268,404 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
$935,769 वॉल्यूम
8%
31 मई
$2,309 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
, including both the chart and downloadable files.This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Escalating Houthi threats to shutter the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—issued in early April 2026 amid U.S. naval restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran conflict—have reignited geopolitical risk premiums in global shipping and energy markets. Container freight rates surged, with Drewry's World Container Index climbing 1% to $2,309 per 40-foot unit as of April 9, while the Baltic Dry Index hit 2,484 points on April 15, reflecting heightened rerouting costs around Africa. Brent crude oscillates near $95–110 per barrel, pricing in potential 4–5 million barrels per day of disrupted oil flows if closure materializes per IMF PortWatch transit data. Trader consensus views full effective closure (≤10 daily ship arrivals) as unlikely near-term due to prior deterrence, but monitors Houthi missile activity and Gulf state responses as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
, including both the chart and downloadable files.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
, including both the chart and downloadable files.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 16, 2026, 2:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,268,404समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
, including both the chart and downloadable files.This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Escalating Houthi threats to shutter the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—issued in early April 2026 amid U.S. naval restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran conflict—have reignited geopolitical risk premiums in global shipping and energy markets. Container freight rates surged, with Drewry's World Container Index climbing 1% to $2,309 per 40-foot unit as of April 9, while the Baltic Dry Index hit 2,484 points on April 15, reflecting heightened rerouting costs around Africa. Brent crude oscillates near $95–110 per barrel, pricing in potential 4–5 million barrels per day of disrupted oil flows if closure materializes per IMF PortWatch transit data. Trader consensus views full effective closure (≤10 daily ship arrivals) as unlikely near-term due to prior deterrence, but monitors Houthi missile activity and Gulf state responses as key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
, including both the chart and downloadable files.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.
If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
, including both the chart and downloadable files.
वॉल्यूम
$1,268,404समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating Houthi threats to shutter the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—issued in early April 2026 amid U.S. naval restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran conflict—have reignited geopolitical risk premiums in global shipping and energy markets. Container freight rates surged, with Drewry's World Container Index climbing 1% to $2,309 per 40-foot unit as of April 9, while the Baltic Dry Index hit 2,484 points on April 15, reflecting heightened rerouting costs around Africa. Brent crude oscillates near $95–110 per barrel, pricing in potential 4–5 million barrels per day of disrupted oil flows if closure materializes per IMF PortWatch transit data. Trader consensus views full effective closure (≤10 daily ship arrivals) as unlikely near-term due to prior deterrence, but monitors Houthi missile activity and Gulf state responses as key swing factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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