Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic-led Iran war powers resolution for the fourth time on April 15, voting 52-47 against advancing it, mirroring prior defeats in March and early April across both chambers, including narrow House rejections like 219-212. This consistent partisan opposition, with minimal bipartisan support, has solidified trader consensus at 96.7% against passage by April 30, as procedural hurdles and President Trump's likely veto—requiring a two-thirds override—pose insurmountable barriers amid the compressed timeline. Only a dramatic escalation, sudden cross-party coalition, or public pressure shift could alter odds, though historical patterns in war powers votes suggest low likelihood.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$17,465 वॉल्यूम
$17,465 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$17,465 वॉल्यूम
$17,465 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic-led Iran war powers resolution for the fourth time on April 15, voting 52-47 against advancing it, mirroring prior defeats in March and early April across both chambers, including narrow House rejections like 219-212. This consistent partisan opposition, with minimal bipartisan support, has solidified trader consensus at 96.7% against passage by April 30, as procedural hurdles and President Trump's likely veto—requiring a two-thirds override—pose insurmountable barriers amid the compressed timeline. Only a dramatic escalation, sudden cross-party coalition, or public pressure shift could alter odds, though historical patterns in war powers votes suggest low likelihood.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,465समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic-led Iran war powers resolution for the fourth time on April 15, voting 52-47 against advancing it, mirroring prior defeats in March and early April across both chambers, including narrow House rejections like 219-212. This consistent partisan opposition, with minimal bipartisan support, has solidified trader consensus at 96.7% against passage by April 30, as procedural hurdles and President Trump's likely veto—requiring a two-thirds override—pose insurmountable barriers amid the compressed timeline. Only a dramatic escalation, sudden cross-party coalition, or public pressure shift could alter odds, though historical patterns in war powers votes suggest low likelihood.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$17,465समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic-led Iran war powers resolution for the fourth time on April 15, voting 52-47 against advancing it, mirroring prior defeats in March and early April across both chambers, including narrow House rejections like 219-212. This consistent partisan opposition, with minimal bipartisan support, has solidified trader consensus at 96.7% against passage by April 30, as procedural hurdles and President Trump's likely veto—requiring a two-thirds override—pose insurmountable barriers amid the compressed timeline. Only a dramatic escalation, sudden cross-party coalition, or public pressure shift could alter odds, though historical patterns in war powers votes suggest low likelihood.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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