Former Bolivian president Evo Morales faces a standing judicial arrest warrant on charges of aggravated human trafficking and sexual abuse of a minor, issued in early 2025 after he failed to appear in court, yet remains at large in his Chapare stronghold as of mid-April 2026. Despite Interior Ministry statements in February affirming intent to detain him ahead of a looming trial—following his seven-week public absence and reappearance amid rumors of flight—government efforts have stalled amid MAS party infighting between Morales' faction and President Luis Arce's allies, plus risks of cocalero protests and unrest. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this persistent evasion pattern, with no recent raids or breakthroughs; late escalations like a forced surrender or military operation could shift odds before May 31 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाEvo Morales arrested by May 31
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Bolivian president Evo Morales faces a standing judicial arrest warrant on charges of aggravated human trafficking and sexual abuse of a minor, issued in early 2025 after he failed to appear in court, yet remains at large in his Chapare stronghold as of mid-April 2026. Despite Interior Ministry statements in February affirming intent to detain him ahead of a looming trial—following his seven-week public absence and reappearance amid rumors of flight—government efforts have stalled amid MAS party infighting between Morales' faction and President Luis Arce's allies, plus risks of cocalero protests and unrest. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this persistent evasion pattern, with no recent raids or breakthroughs; late escalations like a forced surrender or military operation could shift odds before May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,371समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Bolivian president Evo Morales faces a standing judicial arrest warrant on charges of aggravated human trafficking and sexual abuse of a minor, issued in early 2025 after he failed to appear in court, yet remains at large in his Chapare stronghold as of mid-April 2026. Despite Interior Ministry statements in February affirming intent to detain him ahead of a looming trial—following his seven-week public absence and reappearance amid rumors of flight—government efforts have stalled amid MAS party infighting between Morales' faction and President Luis Arce's allies, plus risks of cocalero protests and unrest. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this persistent evasion pattern, with no recent raids or breakthroughs; late escalations like a forced surrender or military operation could shift odds before May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$8,371समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Bolivian president Evo Morales faces a standing judicial arrest warrant on charges of aggravated human trafficking and sexual abuse of a minor, issued in early 2025 after he failed to appear in court, yet remains at large in his Chapare stronghold as of mid-April 2026. Despite Interior Ministry statements in February affirming intent to detain him ahead of a looming trial—following his seven-week public absence and reappearance amid rumors of flight—government efforts have stalled amid MAS party infighting between Morales' faction and President Luis Arce's allies, plus risks of cocalero protests and unrest. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects this persistent evasion pattern, with no recent raids or breakthroughs; late escalations like a forced surrender or military operation could shift odds before May 31 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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