Trader consensus prices the UEFA playoff winner—now confirmed as Turkey—at a razor-thin 38.5% implied probability to top Group D ahead of co-host USA at 38%, reflecting Turkey's playoff momentum from late March victories over Romania and Kosovo, which propelled them past a tough UEFA qualifying path despite finishing second to Spain. USA's home advantage across venues like SoFi Stadium, bolstered by recent 2-1 friendly wins over Paraguay and Australia last October, keeps them neck-and-neck, though a 2-1 loss to Turkey in June underscores the Europeans' counterattacking edge under Vincenzo Montella. Paraguay (17%) leverages CONMEBOL grit and set-piece prowess, while Australia (7%) faces steep odds as the lowest-ranked side at No. 40+ in FIFA standings, with recent form highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. The top-two advance format intensifies every matchup in this balanced pool.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोसोवो/रोमानिया/स्लोवाकिया/तुर्किये 39%
अमेरिका 38%
पराग्वे 17%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया 7.1%
$27,062 वॉल्यूम
$27,062 वॉल्यूम
कोसोवो/रोमानिया/स्लोवाकिया/तुर्किये
39%
अमेरिका
38%
पराग्वे
17%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
7%
कोसोवो/रोमानिया/स्लोवाकिया/तुर्किये 39%
अमेरिका 38%
पराग्वे 17%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया 7.1%
$27,062 वॉल्यूम
$27,062 वॉल्यूम
कोसोवो/रोमानिया/स्लोवाकिया/तुर्किये
39%
अमेरिका
38%
पराग्वे
17%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the UEFA playoff winner—now confirmed as Turkey—at a razor-thin 38.5% implied probability to top Group D ahead of co-host USA at 38%, reflecting Turkey's playoff momentum from late March victories over Romania and Kosovo, which propelled them past a tough UEFA qualifying path despite finishing second to Spain. USA's home advantage across venues like SoFi Stadium, bolstered by recent 2-1 friendly wins over Paraguay and Australia last October, keeps them neck-and-neck, though a 2-1 loss to Turkey in June underscores the Europeans' counterattacking edge under Vincenzo Montella. Paraguay (17%) leverages CONMEBOL grit and set-piece prowess, while Australia (7%) faces steep odds as the lowest-ranked side at No. 40+ in FIFA standings, with recent form highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. The top-two advance format intensifies every matchup in this balanced pool.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न