Iceland's referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations concluded with a 52.8% to 47.2% rejection of the government proposal, producing a 5.6 percentage point margin of victory for the No side that aligns with the 3–6% outcome priced at 100%. Primary drivers included widespread voter prioritization of sovereignty and control over fisheries—a sector representing substantial economic interests and nearly unanimous industry opposition—over arguments for enhanced security amid Arctic tensions and trade uncertainties. An urban-rural divide proved decisive, with Yes support concentrated in Reykjavík constituencies while rural districts delivered decisive No majorities, alongside record turnout exceeding 82%. The result respects the non-binding vote under the current coalition's term through 2028. Challenges to this margin could arise from final constituency certifications, procedural disputes in the Althing, or any official recount adjustments, though preliminary tallies across all districts have stabilized the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानहीं 3-6% 100.0%
हाँ 3–6% <1%
हाँ 15%+ <1%
हाँ 12–15% <1%
$17,854 वॉल्यूम
$17,854 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
हाँ 15%+
नहीं
हाँ 12–15%
नहीं
हां 9–12%
नहीं
हाँ 6–9%
नहीं
हाँ 3–6%
नहीं
हाँ <3%
नहीं
नहीं <3%
नहीं
नहीं 3-6%
हाँ
नहीं 6–9%
नहीं
नहीं 9–12%
नहीं
नहीं 12–15%
नहीं
नहीं 15%+
नहीं
नहीं 3-6% 100.0%
हाँ 3–6% <1%
हाँ 15%+ <1%
हाँ 12–15% <1%
$17,854 वॉल्यूम
$17,854 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
हाँ 15%+
$842 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
हाँ 12–15%
$323 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
हां 9–12%
$2,599 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
हाँ 6–9%
$315 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
हाँ 3–6%
$1,117 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
हाँ <3%
$609 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
नहीं <3%
$3,396 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
नहीं 3-6%
$1,848 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
नहीं 6–9%
$584 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
नहीं 9–12%
$366 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
नहीं 12–15%
$325 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
नहीं 15%+
$5,530 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Iceland's referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations concluded with a 52.8% to 47.2% rejection of the government proposal, producing a 5.6 percentage point margin of victory for the No side that aligns with the 3–6% outcome priced at 100%. Primary drivers included widespread voter prioritization of sovereignty and control over fisheries—a sector representing substantial economic interests and nearly unanimous industry opposition—over arguments for enhanced security amid Arctic tensions and trade uncertainties. An urban-rural divide proved decisive, with Yes support concentrated in Reykjavík constituencies while rural districts delivered decisive No majorities, alongside record turnout exceeding 82%. The result respects the non-binding vote under the current coalition's term through 2028. Challenges to this margin could arise from final constituency certifications, procedural disputes in the Althing, or any official recount adjustments, though preliminary tallies across all districts have stabilized the outcome.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,854समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Iceland's referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations concluded with a 52.8% to 47.2% rejection of the government proposal, producing a 5.6 percentage point margin of victory for the No side that aligns with the 3–6% outcome priced at 100%. Primary drivers included widespread voter prioritization of sovereignty and control over fisheries—a sector representing substantial economic interests and nearly unanimous industry opposition—over arguments for enhanced security amid Arctic tensions and trade uncertainties. An urban-rural divide proved decisive, with Yes support concentrated in Reykjavík constituencies while rural districts delivered decisive No majorities, alongside record turnout exceeding 82%. The result respects the non-binding vote under the current coalition's term through 2028. Challenges to this margin could arise from final constituency certifications, procedural disputes in the Althing, or any official recount adjustments, though preliminary tallies across all districts have stabilized the outcome.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$17,854समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Iceland's referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations concluded with a 52.8% to 47.2% rejection of the government proposal, producing a 5.6 percentage point margin of victory for the No side that aligns with the 3–6% outcome priced at 100%. Primary drivers included widespread voter prioritization of sovereignty and control over fisheries—a sector representing substantial economic interests and nearly unanimous industry opposition—over arguments for enhanced security amid Arctic tensions and trade uncertainties. An urban-rural divide proved decisive, with Yes support concentrated in Reykjavík constituencies while rural districts delivered decisive No majorities, alongside record turnout exceeding 82%. The result respects the non-binding vote under the current coalition's term through 2028. Challenges to this margin could arise from final constituency certifications, procedural disputes in the Althing, or any official recount adjustments, though preliminary tallies across all districts have stabilized the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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