Mike Bouchard's 53% implied probability in the MI-10 Republican primary reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status, driven by first-quarter fundraising filings released April 15 showing he raised $427,000—nearly double Robert Lulgjuraj's $212,000—while matching the prosecutor's $822,000 cash on hand, for a cycle total exceeding $1 million. Bouchard also secured endorsements from Reps. Jim Jordan and Ryan Zinke, ex-Rep. Mike Bishop, and local leaders, amplifying his military veteran appeal and name recognition from Oakland County Sheriff father. A March 18 Strategic National poll gave him 29% to Lulgjuraj's 11%, with prior internals showing wider leads. Lulgjuraj holds 23% via early Macomb County grassroots backing; Elliott trails at 19% amid lower funds. Petitions close April 21 ahead of the August 4 open-seat contest replacing John James.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMike Bouchard 54%
Robert Lulgjuraj 30.9%
Steven Elliott 19.8%
Casey Armitage 8%
Mike Bouchard
54%
Robert Lulgjuraj
22%
Steven Elliott
20%
Casey Armitage
8%
Justin Kirk
<1%
Mike Bouchard 54%
Robert Lulgjuraj 30.9%
Steven Elliott 19.8%
Casey Armitage 8%
Mike Bouchard
54%
Robert Lulgjuraj
22%
Steven Elliott
20%
Casey Armitage
8%
Justin Kirk
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Bouchard's 53% implied probability in the MI-10 Republican primary reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status, driven by first-quarter fundraising filings released April 15 showing he raised $427,000—nearly double Robert Lulgjuraj's $212,000—while matching the prosecutor's $822,000 cash on hand, for a cycle total exceeding $1 million. Bouchard also secured endorsements from Reps. Jim Jordan and Ryan Zinke, ex-Rep. Mike Bishop, and local leaders, amplifying his military veteran appeal and name recognition from Oakland County Sheriff father. A March 18 Strategic National poll gave him 29% to Lulgjuraj's 11%, with prior internals showing wider leads. Lulgjuraj holds 23% via early Macomb County grassroots backing; Elliott trails at 19% amid lower funds. Petitions close April 21 ahead of the August 4 open-seat contest replacing John James.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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