Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya edging Volodymyr Zelenskyy at implied probabilities under 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's unpredictable preferences amid ongoing global conflicts. Navalnaya's slight lead stems from her sustained activism carrying forward Alexei Navalny's anti-corruption legacy, amplified by international solidarity post his death. Zelenskyy's recent formal nomination in late March by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø—praising Ukraine's defense of European democracy against Russian aggression—has fueled his momentum, sparking viral social media buzz. Donald Trump's odds track his diplomatic pushes like ceasefires, while Pope Leo XIV gains from anti-war stances clashing with U.S. policy. Key swing factors include emerging Gaza or Sudan narratives and the October announcement, where historical precedents favor surprise humanitarians over wartime leaders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयायूलिया नवल्नाया 10%
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की 8.8%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प 7%
पोप लियो चौदहवें 4.5%
$13,699,745 वॉल्यूम
$13,699,745 वॉल्यूम
यूलिया नवल्नाया
10%
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की
9%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%
पोप लियो चौदहवें
5%
तमीम बिन हमद अल थानी
3%
UNRWA
3%
अंतर्राष्ट्रीय न्यायालय
3%
शी जिनपिंग
3%
ग्रेटा थनबर्ग
2%
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
2%
नरेंद्र मोदी
2%
अहमद अल-शराआ
1%
खालिद मशाल
1%
रेसेप तैय्यप एर्दोआन
1%
एलन मस्क
1%
चार्ली किर्क
1%
एंतोनियो गुटेरेस
1%
व्लादिमीर पुतिन
1%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
1%
जूलियन असांज
<1%
यूलिया नवल्नाया 10%
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की 8.8%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प 7%
पोप लियो चौदहवें 4.5%
$13,699,745 वॉल्यूम
$13,699,745 वॉल्यूम
यूलिया नवल्नाया
10%
वोलोदिमिर ज़ेलेंस्की
9%
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%
पोप लियो चौदहवें
5%
तमीम बिन हमद अल थानी
3%
UNRWA
3%
अंतर्राष्ट्रीय न्यायालय
3%
शी जिनपिंग
3%
ग्रेटा थनबर्ग
2%
मोहम्मद बिन सलमान
2%
नरेंद्र मोदी
2%
अहमद अल-शराआ
1%
खालिद मशाल
1%
रेसेप तैय्यप एर्दोआन
1%
एलन मस्क
1%
चार्ली किर्क
1%
एंतोनियो गुटेरेस
1%
व्लादिमीर पुतिन
1%
बेंजामिन नेतन्याहू
1%
जूलियन असांज
<1%
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya edging Volodymyr Zelenskyy at implied probabilities under 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's unpredictable preferences amid ongoing global conflicts. Navalnaya's slight lead stems from her sustained activism carrying forward Alexei Navalny's anti-corruption legacy, amplified by international solidarity post his death. Zelenskyy's recent formal nomination in late March by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø—praising Ukraine's defense of European democracy against Russian aggression—has fueled his momentum, sparking viral social media buzz. Donald Trump's odds track his diplomatic pushes like ceasefires, while Pope Leo XIV gains from anti-war stances clashing with U.S. policy. Key swing factors include emerging Gaza or Sudan narratives and the October announcement, where historical precedents favor surprise humanitarians over wartime leaders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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