Nikki Gronli leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the South Dakota At-Large Democratic primary nomination, bolstered by Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal, which sharpened the contest against Scott Schlagel (39%) and left Mawhiney with residual 2.6% odds. Gronli's edge stems from superior fundraising—$93,000 raised and $55,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, versus Schlagel's zero—plus her resume as former USDA Rural Development state director and South Dakota Democratic Party vice chairwoman, signaling stronger party infrastructure and donor support. Schlagel, a Dell Rapids resident with early filing but minimal visibility, remains competitive in this unpolled, low-turnout June 2 primary race for the chance to challenge Republican incumbent Dusty Johnson.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSD-AL Democratic Primary Winner
SD-AL Democratic Primary Winner
Nikki Gronli 60%
Scott Schlagel 38%
Billy Mawhiney 2.6%
नया
नया
2 जून, 2026
Nikki Gronli
60%
Scott Schlagel
38%
Billy Mawhiney
3%
Nikki Gronli 60%
Scott Schlagel 38%
Billy Mawhiney 2.6%
नया
नया
2 जून, 2026
Nikki Gronli
$696 वॉल्यूम
60%
Scott Schlagel
$4,311 वॉल्यूम
38%
Billy Mawhiney
$4,247 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the South Dakota At-Large Democratic primary nomination, bolstered by Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal, which sharpened the contest against Scott Schlagel (39%) and left Mawhiney with residual 2.6% odds. Gronli's edge stems from superior fundraising—$93,000 raised and $55,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, versus Schlagel's zero—plus her resume as former USDA Rural Development state director and South Dakota Democratic Party vice chairwoman, signaling stronger party infrastructure and donor support. Schlagel, a Dell Rapids resident with early filing but minimal visibility, remains competitive in this unpolled, low-turnout June 2 primary race for the chance to challenge Republican incumbent Dusty Johnson.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,254समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nikki Gronli leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the South Dakota At-Large Democratic primary nomination, bolstered by Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal, which sharpened the contest against Scott Schlagel (39%) and left Mawhiney with residual 2.6% odds. Gronli's edge stems from superior fundraising—$93,000 raised and $55,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, versus Schlagel's zero—plus her resume as former USDA Rural Development state director and South Dakota Democratic Party vice chairwoman, signaling stronger party infrastructure and donor support. Schlagel, a Dell Rapids resident with early filing but minimal visibility, remains competitive in this unpolled, low-turnout June 2 primary race for the chance to challenge Republican incumbent Dusty Johnson.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the South Dakota at-large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$9,254समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nikki Gronli leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the South Dakota At-Large Democratic primary nomination, bolstered by Billy Mawhiney's February 2026 withdrawal, which sharpened the contest against Scott Schlagel (39%) and left Mawhiney with residual 2.6% odds. Gronli's edge stems from superior fundraising—$93,000 raised and $55,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, versus Schlagel's zero—plus her resume as former USDA Rural Development state director and South Dakota Democratic Party vice chairwoman, signaling stronger party infrastructure and donor support. Schlagel, a Dell Rapids resident with early filing but minimal visibility, remains competitive in this unpolled, low-turnout June 2 primary race for the chance to challenge Republican incumbent Dusty Johnson.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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