Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: AWS service disruption, Discord critical incident, and Cloudflare critical incident. AWS experienced a 7-hour me-central-1 outage on March 29 due to a physical data center incident, and Discord suffered a widespread voice chat failure on March 25, but Cloudflare reported no qualifying disruptions through status dashboards in March. With the deadline over two weeks past and no retroactive classifications emerging, the conjunctive parlay fails decisively. Realistic risks include disputes over incident definitions from official sources or rare resolution challenges, though post-deadline stability in AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare operations further solidifies trader confidence in "No."
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$13,979 वॉल्यूम
$13,979 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
हाँ
$13,979 वॉल्यूम
$13,979 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: AWS service disruption, Discord critical incident, and Cloudflare critical incident. AWS experienced a 7-hour me-central-1 outage on March 29 due to a physical data center incident, and Discord suffered a widespread voice chat failure on March 25, but Cloudflare reported no qualifying disruptions through status dashboards in March. With the deadline over two weeks past and no retroactive classifications emerging, the conjunctive parlay fails decisively. Realistic risks include disputes over incident definitions from official sources or rare resolution challenges, though post-deadline stability in AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare operations further solidifies trader confidence in "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,979समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: AWS service disruption, Discord critical incident, and Cloudflare critical incident. AWS experienced a 7-hour me-central-1 outage on March 29 due to a physical data center incident, and Discord suffered a widespread voice chat failure on March 25, but Cloudflare reported no qualifying disruptions through status dashboards in March. With the deadline over two weeks past and no retroactive classifications emerging, the conjunctive parlay fails decisively. Realistic risks include disputes over incident definitions from official sources or rare resolution challenges, though post-deadline stability in AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare operations further solidifies trader confidence in "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$13,979समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market implies a 96.9% probability for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: AWS service disruption, Discord critical incident, and Cloudflare critical incident. AWS experienced a 7-hour me-central-1 outage on March 29 due to a physical data center incident, and Discord suffered a widespread voice chat failure on March 25, but Cloudflare reported no qualifying disruptions through status dashboards in March. With the deadline over two weeks past and no retroactive classifications emerging, the conjunctive parlay fails decisively. Realistic risks include disputes over incident definitions from official sources or rare resolution challenges, though post-deadline stability in AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare operations further solidifies trader confidence in "No."
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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