The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, while the combined OASDI funds last until the third quarter of 2034. This outlook stems from lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus 2025 legislation that reduced revenue from taxing benefits. Without congressional action to adjust payroll taxes, raise the wage cap, or modify benefits, incoming revenue would cover only about 83 percent of scheduled payments at depletion. Recent bipartisan proposals to expand the tax base have surfaced but face uncertain prospects ahead of the midterms, keeping trader focus on legislative timelines and demographic trends that could shift the insolvency window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाद्वारा सामाजिक सुरक्षा दिवालिया...?
द्वारा सामाजिक सुरक्षा दिवालिया...?
नया
31 दिस, 2028
31 दिसंबर, 2027
11%
31 दिसंबर, 2028
17%
$394 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर, 2027
$349 वॉल्यूम
11%
31 दिसंबर, 2028
$45 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, while the combined OASDI funds last until the third quarter of 2034. This outlook stems from lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus 2025 legislation that reduced revenue from taxing benefits. Without congressional action to adjust payroll taxes, raise the wage cap, or modify benefits, incoming revenue would cover only about 83 percent of scheduled payments at depletion. Recent bipartisan proposals to expand the tax base have surfaced but face uncertain prospects ahead of the midterms, keeping trader focus on legislative timelines and demographic trends that could shift the insolvency window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$394समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, while the combined OASDI funds last until the third quarter of 2034. This outlook stems from lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus 2025 legislation that reduced revenue from taxing benefits. Without congressional action to adjust payroll taxes, raise the wage cap, or modify benefits, incoming revenue would cover only about 83 percent of scheduled payments at depletion. Recent bipartisan proposals to expand the tax base have surfaced but face uncertain prospects ahead of the midterms, keeping trader focus on legislative timelines and demographic trends that could shift the insolvency window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$394समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, while the combined OASDI funds last until the third quarter of 2034. This outlook stems from lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus 2025 legislation that reduced revenue from taxing benefits. Without congressional action to adjust payroll taxes, raise the wage cap, or modify benefits, incoming revenue would cover only about 83 percent of scheduled payments at depletion. Recent bipartisan proposals to expand the tax base have surfaced but face uncertain prospects ahead of the midterms, keeping trader focus on legislative timelines and demographic trends that could shift the insolvency window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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