Trader consensus heavily favors no referendum announcement on a new Turkish constitution by year-end, reflecting the absence of any official move despite President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's labeling of 2026 as a "year of reform." The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted a draft to Erdoğan in late 2025 and outlined a parliamentary roadmap in February 2026, gaining a few seats to bolster its position, but has not presented a full text to opposition parties amid stalled coalition talks. Requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) to trigger a referendum, the People's Alliance falls short without broader support, while focus shifts to economic pressures, Kurdish peace negotiations, and opposition trials like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu's, reducing momentum for timely action.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no referendum announcement on a new Turkish constitution by year-end, reflecting the absence of any official move despite President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's labeling of 2026 as a "year of reform." The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted a draft to Erdoğan in late 2025 and outlined a parliamentary roadmap in February 2026, gaining a few seats to bolster its position, but has not presented a full text to opposition parties amid stalled coalition talks. Requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) to trigger a referendum, the People's Alliance falls short without broader support, while focus shifts to economic pressures, Kurdish peace negotiations, and opposition trials like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu's, reducing momentum for timely action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$204समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no referendum announcement on a new Turkish constitution by year-end, reflecting the absence of any official move despite President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's labeling of 2026 as a "year of reform." The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted a draft to Erdoğan in late 2025 and outlined a parliamentary roadmap in February 2026, gaining a few seats to bolster its position, but has not presented a full text to opposition parties amid stalled coalition talks. Requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) to trigger a referendum, the People's Alliance falls short without broader support, while focus shifts to economic pressures, Kurdish peace negotiations, and opposition trials like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu's, reducing momentum for timely action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$204समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no referendum announcement on a new Turkish constitution by year-end, reflecting the absence of any official move despite President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's labeling of 2026 as a "year of reform." The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted a draft to Erdoğan in late 2025 and outlined a parliamentary roadmap in February 2026, gaining a few seats to bolster its position, but has not presented a full text to opposition parties amid stalled coalition talks. Requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) to trigger a referendum, the People's Alliance falls short without broader support, while focus shifts to economic pressures, Kurdish peace negotiations, and opposition trials like Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu's, reducing momentum for timely action.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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