Group D1 features Gibraltar, Malta, and Andorra in a compact round-robin where each side plays the other twice home and away. With the league phase opening in mid-September and no matches yet completed, the three nations enter with comparable recent form, FIFA rankings in the low 150s to 200s, and limited depth in squad quality. Historical head-to-head results and Nations League or qualifier performances show frequent draws and narrow margins, leaving no side with a consistent edge. Home advantage at compact venues will matter, yet the overall parity across attacking and defensive records keeps the implied probabilities for the group winner tightly clustered around 25-27% for each team. Any early result or set-piece efficiency could shift momentum quickly in this low-scoring environment.