Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability in trader consensus for the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23%, bolstered by name recognition from his prior service and recent momentum from Salt Lake County Council member Kathleen Riebe's dropout and endorsement four days ago, citing Blouin's volatility. Blouin's 20% share reflects progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC but has slipped amid fresh scrutiny of his old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, reported within the last day. A conservative dark money super PAC's $611,000 ad buy boosting McAdams underscores fears of a progressive nominee in this newly drawn D+14 district. The April 25 state convention could shift dynamics via delegate support ahead of the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBen McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 21%
Luz Escamilla <1%
Brian King <1%
$24,731 वॉल्यूम
$24,731 वॉल्यूम
Ben McAdams
74%
Nate Blouin
21%
Luz Escamilla
1%
Brian King
1%
Kathleen Riebe
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Ben McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 21%
Luz Escamilla <1%
Brian King <1%
$24,731 वॉल्यूम
$24,731 वॉल्यूम
Ben McAdams
74%
Nate Blouin
21%
Luz Escamilla
1%
Brian King
1%
Kathleen Riebe
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability in trader consensus for the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23%, bolstered by name recognition from his prior service and recent momentum from Salt Lake County Council member Kathleen Riebe's dropout and endorsement four days ago, citing Blouin's volatility. Blouin's 20% share reflects progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC but has slipped amid fresh scrutiny of his old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, reported within the last day. A conservative dark money super PAC's $611,000 ad buy boosting McAdams underscores fears of a progressive nominee in this newly drawn D+14 district. The April 25 state convention could shift dynamics via delegate support ahead of the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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