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icon for सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?

सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?

icon for सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?

सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?

$22,767 वॉल्यूम

3 नव, 2026
Polymarket

$22,767 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

आयोवा

$1,086 वॉल्यूम

85%

ओहायो (विशेष)

$710 वॉल्यूम

77%

मिशिगन

$519 वॉल्यूम

76%

अलास्का

$394 वॉल्यूम

72%

टेक्सास

$1,962 वॉल्यूम

71%

मेन

$228 वॉल्यूम

66%

न्यू हैम्पशायर

$1,081 वॉल्यूम

52%

नेब्रास्का

$1,929 वॉल्यूम

48%

जॉर्जिया

$303 वॉल्यूम

31%

फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)

$977 वॉल्यूम

30%

नॉर्थ कैरोलिना

$1,812 वॉल्यूम

28%

मिनेसोटा

$5,867 वॉल्यूम

24%

न्यू मैक्सिको

$1,813 वॉल्यूम

11%

मोंटाना

$1,307 वॉल्यूम

8%

वर्जीनिया

$1,002 वॉल्यूम

5%

कोलोराडो

$1,777 वॉल्यूम

3%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain closely competitive due to the narrow national environment, candidate recruitment, and state-level fundamentals. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball highlight a handful of toss-ups and lean seats, including Georgia, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio, where recent polling shifts and candidate announcements have kept margins tight. Democratic gains in generic ballot averages and shifts in Georgia ratings reflect the midterm dynamic under a Republican administration. Primary outcomes, fundraising reports, and any late candidate changes will further shape which races stay within a 5-point spread through November.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$22,767
समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain closely competitive due to the narrow national environment, candidate recruitment, and state-level fundamentals. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball highlight a handful of toss-ups and lean seats, including Georgia, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio, where recent polling shifts and candidate announcements have kept margins tight. Democratic gains in generic ballot averages and shifts in Georgia ratings reflect the midterm dynamic under a Republican administration. Primary outcomes, fundraising reports, and any late candidate changes will further shape which races stay within a 5-point spread through November.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$22,767
समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?" Polymarket पर 16 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, आयोवा 85% (85¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद ओहायो (विशेष) 77% पर है।

आज तक, "सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?" ने कुल $22.8K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jul 29, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 16 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "आयोवा" 85% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "ओहायो (विशेष)" 77% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"सीनेट की कौन सी दौड़ 5% के भीतर होगी?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।