Several 2026 Senate contests remain closely competitive due to the narrow national environment, candidate recruitment, and state-level fundamentals. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball highlight a handful of toss-ups and lean seats, including Georgia, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio, where recent polling shifts and candidate announcements have kept margins tight. Democratic gains in generic ballot averages and shifts in Georgia ratings reflect the midterm dynamic under a Republican administration. Primary outcomes, fundraising reports, and any late candidate changes will further shape which races stay within a 5-point spread through November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$22,767 वॉल्यूम
आयोवा
85%
ओहायो (विशेष)
77%
मिशिगन
76%
अलास्का
72%
टेक्सास
71%
मेन
66%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
52%
नेब्रास्का
48%
जॉर्जिया
31%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
30%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
28%
मिनेसोटा
24%
न्यू मैक्सिको
11%
मोंटाना
8%
वर्जीनिया
5%
कोलोराडो
3%
$22,767 वॉल्यूम
आयोवा
85%
ओहायो (विशेष)
77%
मिशिगन
76%
अलास्का
72%
टेक्सास
71%
मेन
66%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
52%
नेब्रास्का
48%
जॉर्जिया
31%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
30%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
28%
मिनेसोटा
24%
न्यू मैक्सिको
11%
मोंटाना
8%
वर्जीनिया
5%
कोलोराडो
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests remain closely competitive due to the narrow national environment, candidate recruitment, and state-level fundamentals. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball highlight a handful of toss-ups and lean seats, including Georgia, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio, where recent polling shifts and candidate announcements have kept margins tight. Democratic gains in generic ballot averages and shifts in Georgia ratings reflect the midterm dynamic under a Republican administration. Primary outcomes, fundraising reports, and any late candidate changes will further shape which races stay within a 5-point spread through November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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