Recent polling averages show narrow margins in multiple 2026 Senate contests, including Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, where Democratic candidates hold small leads or ties in states previously viewed as Republican-leaning. Low presidential approval ratings, open seats after retirements, and candidate recruitment have expanded the battlefield, with traders assigning the highest probabilities for sub-five-point finishes to Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine. Fund-raising edges for Democratic nominees and late primary dynamics in states like Michigan and New Hampshire continue to influence positioning, while Republicans retain advantages in voter turnout infrastructure and overall spending capacity heading into the final weeks before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$65,768 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
टेक्सास
80%
आयोवा
70%
अलास्का
70%
Kansas
73%
मिशिगन
60%
ओहायो (विशेष)
56%
मेन
47%
नेब्रास्का
42%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
37%
South Carolina
42%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
28%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
25%
मिनेसोटा
24%
जॉर्जिया
20%
न्यू मैक्सिको
13%
मोंटाना
10%
वर्जीनिया
4%
कोलोराडो
3%
$65,768 वॉल्यूम
टेक्सास
$7,420 वॉल्यूम
80%
आयोवा
$5,880 वॉल्यूम
70%
अलास्का
$2,853 वॉल्यूम
70%
Kansas
$571 वॉल्यूम
73%
मिशिगन
$3,054 वॉल्यूम
60%
ओहायो (विशेष)
$3,969 वॉल्यूम
56%
मेन
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
47%
नेब्रास्का
$3,847 वॉल्यूम
42%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
$2,422 वॉल्यूम
37%
South Carolina
$109 वॉल्यूम
42%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
$5,817 वॉल्यूम
28%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
$2,450 वॉल्यूम
25%
मिनेसोटा
$10,399 वॉल्यूम
24%
जॉर्जिया
$2,057 वॉल्यूम
20%
न्यू मैक्सिको
$6,665 वॉल्यूम
13%
मोंटाना
$3,190 वॉल्यूम
10%
वर्जीनिया
$1,344 वॉल्यूम
4%
कोलोराडो
$2,599 वॉल्यूम
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages show narrow margins in multiple 2026 Senate contests, including Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, where Democratic candidates hold small leads or ties in states previously viewed as Republican-leaning. Low presidential approval ratings, open seats after retirements, and candidate recruitment have expanded the battlefield, with traders assigning the highest probabilities for sub-five-point finishes to Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine. Fund-raising edges for Democratic nominees and late primary dynamics in states like Michigan and New Hampshire continue to influence positioning, while Republicans retain advantages in voter turnout infrastructure and overall spending capacity heading into the final weeks before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$65,768समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages show narrow margins in multiple 2026 Senate contests, including Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, where Democratic candidates hold small leads or ties in states previously viewed as Republican-leaning. Low presidential approval ratings, open seats after retirements, and candidate recruitment have expanded the battlefield, with traders assigning the highest probabilities for sub-five-point finishes to Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine. Fund-raising edges for Democratic nominees and late primary dynamics in states like Michigan and New Hampshire continue to influence positioning, while Republicans retain advantages in voter turnout infrastructure and overall spending capacity heading into the final weeks before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$65,768समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages show narrow margins in multiple 2026 Senate contests, including Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, where Democratic candidates hold small leads or ties in states previously viewed as Republican-leaning. Low presidential approval ratings, open seats after retirements, and candidate recruitment have expanded the battlefield, with traders assigning the highest probabilities for sub-five-point finishes to Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, Iowa, and Maine. Fund-raising edges for Democratic nominees and late primary dynamics in states like Michigan and New Hampshire continue to influence positioning, while Republicans retain advantages in voter turnout infrastructure and overall spending capacity heading into the final weeks before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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