Trader consensus favors U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff as most likely to physically meet Iranian representatives by April 30, reflecting his lead role in recent delegations alongside Vice President J.D. Vance and Jared Kushner. Following the April 10-12 Islamabad talks—which collapsed after 21 hours over Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief without confirmed face-to-face contact—Pakistan's mediation persists amid a fragile ceasefire and U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistani Army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit and reports of U.S. envoys returning to Islamabad signal a potential second round soon, while President Trump hinted at resumption within days before the deadline. Sticking points remain, with nuclear curbs central to any deal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$102,378 वॉल्यूम

डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%

जे.डी. वेंस
75%

मार्को रुबियो
8%

जारेड कुशनर
73%

स्टीव विटकॉफ़
82%
$102,378 वॉल्यूम

डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%

जे.डी. वेंस
75%

मार्को रुबियो
8%

जारेड कुशनर
73%

स्टीव विटकॉफ़
82%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff as most likely to physically meet Iranian representatives by April 30, reflecting his lead role in recent delegations alongside Vice President J.D. Vance and Jared Kushner. Following the April 10-12 Islamabad talks—which collapsed after 21 hours over Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief without confirmed face-to-face contact—Pakistan's mediation persists amid a fragile ceasefire and U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistani Army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit and reports of U.S. envoys returning to Islamabad signal a potential second round soon, while President Trump hinted at resumption within days before the deadline. Sticking points remain, with nuclear curbs central to any deal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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