Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military strikes and a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, trader consensus heavily favors Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy, as the most likely to meet Iranian officials by April 30, reflecting backchannel diplomacy mediated by Pakistan. Talks commenced April 10 in Islamabad with US representatives including Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Vice President JD Vance facing Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Akbar Ahmadian; an initial round yielded no agreement, prompting diplomats to arrange a second round potentially within days. Iran's Supreme National Security Council emphasized distrust but allocated two weeks for negotiations, extendable by mutual consent, amid ceasefire pressures and unresolved nuclear concerns. Upcoming sessions could solidify Witkoff's role or elevate others like Vance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$98,796 वॉल्यूम

डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%

जे.डी. वेंस
75%

मार्को रुबियो
12%

जारेड कुशनर
73%

स्टीव विटकॉफ़
82%
$98,796 वॉल्यूम

डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%

जे.डी. वेंस
75%

मार्को रुबियो
12%

जारेड कुशनर
73%

स्टीव विटकॉफ़
82%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military strikes and a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, trader consensus heavily favors Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy, as the most likely to meet Iranian officials by April 30, reflecting backchannel diplomacy mediated by Pakistan. Talks commenced April 10 in Islamabad with US representatives including Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Vice President JD Vance facing Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Akbar Ahmadian; an initial round yielded no agreement, prompting diplomats to arrange a second round potentially within days. Iran's Supreme National Security Council emphasized distrust but allocated two weeks for negotiations, extendable by mutual consent, amid ceasefire pressures and unresolved nuclear concerns. Upcoming sessions could solidify Witkoff's role or elevate others like Vance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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