Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Anthropic IPOing first over OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude AI developer entering early talks with Wall Street banks for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation. This momentum intensified after Bloomberg revealed on April 14 that Anthropic rejected private investor offers exceeding $800 billion—more than double its February fundraising valuation—while expanding its board with Novartis CEO Vas Narasimhan to bolster governance ahead of public markets. Anthropic's revenue has tripled to a $30 billion annual run-rate, narrowing the gap with OpenAI. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar questioning Q4 readiness amid massive compute spending and profitability delays until 2029 or later. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or banker updates in the coming months, as both AI labs race toward year-end debuts amid regulatory scrutiny and cooling public AI sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक
$52,599 वॉल्यूम
$52,599 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
एंथ्रॉपिक
$52,599 वॉल्यूम
$52,599 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Anthropic IPOing first over OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude AI developer entering early talks with Wall Street banks for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation. This momentum intensified after Bloomberg revealed on April 14 that Anthropic rejected private investor offers exceeding $800 billion—more than double its February fundraising valuation—while expanding its board with Novartis CEO Vas Narasimhan to bolster governance ahead of public markets. Anthropic's revenue has tripled to a $30 billion annual run-rate, narrowing the gap with OpenAI. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar questioning Q4 readiness amid massive compute spending and profitability delays until 2029 or later. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or banker updates in the coming months, as both AI labs race toward year-end debuts amid regulatory scrutiny and cooling public AI sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$52,599समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Anthropic IPOing first over OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude AI developer entering early talks with Wall Street banks for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation. This momentum intensified after Bloomberg revealed on April 14 that Anthropic rejected private investor offers exceeding $800 billion—more than double its February fundraising valuation—while expanding its board with Novartis CEO Vas Narasimhan to bolster governance ahead of public markets. Anthropic's revenue has tripled to a $30 billion annual run-rate, narrowing the gap with OpenAI. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar questioning Q4 readiness amid massive compute spending and profitability delays until 2029 or later. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or banker updates in the coming months, as both AI labs race toward year-end debuts amid regulatory scrutiny and cooling public AI sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$52,599समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 64.5% implied probability to Anthropic IPOing first over OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude AI developer entering early talks with Wall Street banks for a potential October 2026 listing that could raise over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation. This momentum intensified after Bloomberg revealed on April 14 that Anthropic rejected private investor offers exceeding $800 billion—more than double its February fundraising valuation—while expanding its board with Novartis CEO Vas Narasimhan to bolster governance ahead of public markets. Anthropic's revenue has tripled to a $30 billion annual run-rate, narrowing the gap with OpenAI. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal friction, with CFO Sarah Friar questioning Q4 readiness amid massive compute spending and profitability delays until 2029 or later. Key catalysts include confidential S-1 filings or banker updates in the coming months, as both AI labs race toward year-end debuts amid regulatory scrutiny and cooling public AI sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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