Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 has positioned it ahead in the regulatory process for a potential fall 2026 listing, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The move followed a $65 billion funding round that valued the company near $965 billion and came weeks after it retained key legal advisors. OpenAI filed its own confidential paperwork around June 8 while targeting a September-to-November window at up to $1 trillion valuation, yet remains one step behind in the SEC review timeline. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's earlier start and recent capital raise as decisive factors in the race between the two leading large language model developers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
एंथ्रॉपिक
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 has positioned it ahead in the regulatory process for a potential fall 2026 listing, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The move followed a $65 billion funding round that valued the company near $965 billion and came weeks after it retained key legal advisors. OpenAI filed its own confidential paperwork around June 8 while targeting a September-to-November window at up to $1 trillion valuation, yet remains one step behind in the SEC review timeline. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's earlier start and recent capital raise as decisive factors in the race between the two leading large language model developers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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