Anthropic's advanced preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filing, selection of lead underwriters, and recent reports of profitability with over $65 billion in annualized revenue run rate, have driven the 94.2% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent statements from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman explicitly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize artificial intelligence safety, alignment work, and potential industry coordination amid heightened regulatory scrutiny. Traders view these timelines as decisive given Anthropic's compressed roadshow window before U.S. midterms. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute delays in Anthropic's prospectus release or a reversal in OpenAI's safety-driven stance, though both appear unlikely based on current verified developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या पहले एंथ्रोपिक या ओपनएआई आईपीओ होगा?
क्या पहले एंथ्रोपिक या ओपनएआई आईपीओ होगा?
एंथ्रॉपिक
94% संभावना
$366,581 वॉल्यूम
$366,581 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
एंथ्रॉपिक
94% संभावना
$366,581 वॉल्यूम
$366,581 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filing, selection of lead underwriters, and recent reports of profitability with over $65 billion in annualized revenue run rate, have driven the 94.2% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent statements from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman explicitly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize artificial intelligence safety, alignment work, and potential industry coordination amid heightened regulatory scrutiny. Traders view these timelines as decisive given Anthropic's compressed roadshow window before U.S. midterms. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute delays in Anthropic's prospectus release or a reversal in OpenAI's safety-driven stance, though both appear unlikely based on current verified developments.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$366,581समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filing, selection of lead underwriters, and recent reports of profitability with over $65 billion in annualized revenue run rate, have driven the 94.2% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent statements from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman explicitly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize artificial intelligence safety, alignment work, and potential industry coordination amid heightened regulatory scrutiny. Traders view these timelines as decisive given Anthropic's compressed roadshow window before U.S. midterms. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute delays in Anthropic's prospectus release or a reversal in OpenAI's safety-driven stance, though both appear unlikely based on current verified developments.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$366,581समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's advanced preparations for an October 2026 Nasdaq listing, including a confidential S-1 filing, selection of lead underwriters, and recent reports of profitability with over $65 billion in annualized revenue run rate, have driven the 94.2% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent statements from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman explicitly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize artificial intelligence safety, alignment work, and potential industry coordination amid heightened regulatory scrutiny. Traders view these timelines as decisive given Anthropic's compressed roadshow window before U.S. midterms. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute delays in Anthropic's prospectus release or a reversal in OpenAI's safety-driven stance, though both appear unlikely based on current verified developments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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