Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI in the race to public markets, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability that it lists first. The company’s late-May $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation underscored rapid revenue growth from Claude models and enterprise adoption, outpacing OpenAI’s most recent private valuation. OpenAI followed with its own confidential filing roughly a week later while navigating prior revenue shortfalls and internal timing debates, factors that have tempered trader expectations for a September debut. Both firms target fall 2026 listings pending SEC review and market conditions, but Anthropic’s filing sequence and valuation momentum currently anchor consensus on an earlier window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
एंथ्रॉपिक
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
$134,898 वॉल्यूम
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI in the race to public markets, driving the 71.5% market-implied probability that it lists first. The company’s late-May $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation underscored rapid revenue growth from Claude models and enterprise adoption, outpacing OpenAI’s most recent private valuation. OpenAI followed with its own confidential filing roughly a week later while navigating prior revenue shortfalls and internal timing debates, factors that have tempered trader expectations for a September debut. Both firms target fall 2026 listings pending SEC review and market conditions, but Anthropic’s filing sequence and valuation momentum currently anchor consensus on an earlier window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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