Following the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primaries for U.S. House races, all incumbents who appeared on the ballot—including Jonathan Jackson (IL-1), Delia Ramirez (IL-3), Mike Quigley (IL-5), Sean Casten (IL-6), Brad Schneider (IL-10), Bill Foster (IL-11), Nikki Budzinski (IL-13), Lauren Underwood (IL-14), and Eric Sorensen (IL-17)—secured renomination, most unopposed due to challengers failing to qualify. Several others retired or pursued higher office, like Robin Kelly and Raja Krishnamoorthi for Senate, yielding open seats with crowded fields. Trader consensus implies 58% probability for "No" incumbent losses, driven by certified county results showing no upsets, though mild uncertainty persists ahead of full state Board of Elections canvass by late April.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$413 वॉल्यूम
$413 वॉल्यूम
17 मार्च, 2026
$413 वॉल्यूम
$413 वॉल्यूम
17 मार्च, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primaries for U.S. House races, all incumbents who appeared on the ballot—including Jonathan Jackson (IL-1), Delia Ramirez (IL-3), Mike Quigley (IL-5), Sean Casten (IL-6), Brad Schneider (IL-10), Bill Foster (IL-11), Nikki Budzinski (IL-13), Lauren Underwood (IL-14), and Eric Sorensen (IL-17)—secured renomination, most unopposed due to challengers failing to qualify. Several others retired or pursued higher office, like Robin Kelly and Raja Krishnamoorthi for Senate, yielding open seats with crowded fields. Trader consensus implies 58% probability for "No" incumbent losses, driven by certified county results showing no upsets, though mild uncertainty persists ahead of full state Board of Elections canvass by late April.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$413समाप्ति तिथि
17 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primaries for U.S. House races, all incumbents who appeared on the ballot—including Jonathan Jackson (IL-1), Delia Ramirez (IL-3), Mike Quigley (IL-5), Sean Casten (IL-6), Brad Schneider (IL-10), Bill Foster (IL-11), Nikki Budzinski (IL-13), Lauren Underwood (IL-14), and Eric Sorensen (IL-17)—secured renomination, most unopposed due to challengers failing to qualify. Several others retired or pursued higher office, like Robin Kelly and Raja Krishnamoorthi for Senate, yielding open seats with crowded fields. Trader consensus implies 58% probability for "No" incumbent losses, driven by certified county results showing no upsets, though mild uncertainty persists ahead of full state Board of Elections canvass by late April.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voting begins, or otherwise not participating in the primary as a candidate will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$413समाप्ति तिथि
17 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the March 17, 2026, Illinois Democratic primaries for U.S. House races, all incumbents who appeared on the ballot—including Jonathan Jackson (IL-1), Delia Ramirez (IL-3), Mike Quigley (IL-5), Sean Casten (IL-6), Brad Schneider (IL-10), Bill Foster (IL-11), Nikki Budzinski (IL-13), Lauren Underwood (IL-14), and Eric Sorensen (IL-17)—secured renomination, most unopposed due to challengers failing to qualify. Several others retired or pursued higher office, like Robin Kelly and Raja Krishnamoorthi for Senate, yielding open seats with crowded fields. Trader consensus implies 58% probability for "No" incumbent losses, driven by certified county results showing no upsets, though mild uncertainty persists ahead of full state Board of Elections canvass by late April.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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