Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 67.5% implied probability to Lady Gaga attending the May 4, 2026 Met Gala, driven by recent reports from a Vanity Fair journalist indicating her expected red carpet return after a seven-year hiatus to promote her role in The Devil Wears Prada 2. The "Costume Art" theme perfectly suits her history of theatrical, boundary-pushing looks—recalling iconic 2019 ensembles—and aligns with peak promotional timing for the sequel. While unconfirmed, this credible rumor has fueled optimism amid her current spotlight, though traders factor in potential schedule shifts or last-minute snubs common in elite fashion events curated by Anna Wintour. Official guest list details remain under wraps until days before, leaving room for volatility.