Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Pam Bondi will not be held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the absence of any formal contempt proceedings despite Democrats' threats following her April 14 refusal to appear for a House Oversight Committee deposition on Jeffrey Epstein files. The Department of Justice has backed her non-compliance, citing her ousted status as former AG, while Republican committee control under Chair Comer makes a bipartisan vote unlikely amid partisan gridlock on Trump-era probes. Historical precedents like delayed Bannon and Navarro cases underscore the lengthy process—committee referral, full House vote, DOJ prosecution—that fits poorly within the two-week window. Realistic upsets include a surprise Oversight markup or bipartisan revolt if new Epstein revelations emerge, but traders see slim odds amid political inertia.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$13,263 वॉल्यूम
$13,263 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
$13,263 वॉल्यूम
$13,263 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Pam Bondi will not be held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the absence of any formal contempt proceedings despite Democrats' threats following her April 14 refusal to appear for a House Oversight Committee deposition on Jeffrey Epstein files. The Department of Justice has backed her non-compliance, citing her ousted status as former AG, while Republican committee control under Chair Comer makes a bipartisan vote unlikely amid partisan gridlock on Trump-era probes. Historical precedents like delayed Bannon and Navarro cases underscore the lengthy process—committee referral, full House vote, DOJ prosecution—that fits poorly within the two-week window. Realistic upsets include a surprise Oversight markup or bipartisan revolt if new Epstein revelations emerge, but traders see slim odds amid political inertia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,263समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Pam Bondi will not be held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the absence of any formal contempt proceedings despite Democrats' threats following her April 14 refusal to appear for a House Oversight Committee deposition on Jeffrey Epstein files. The Department of Justice has backed her non-compliance, citing her ousted status as former AG, while Republican committee control under Chair Comer makes a bipartisan vote unlikely amid partisan gridlock on Trump-era probes. Historical precedents like delayed Bannon and Navarro cases underscore the lengthy process—committee referral, full House vote, DOJ prosecution—that fits poorly within the two-week window. Realistic upsets include a surprise Oversight markup or bipartisan revolt if new Epstein revelations emerge, but traders see slim odds amid political inertia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$13,263समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Pam Bondi will not be held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by the absence of any formal contempt proceedings despite Democrats' threats following her April 14 refusal to appear for a House Oversight Committee deposition on Jeffrey Epstein files. The Department of Justice has backed her non-compliance, citing her ousted status as former AG, while Republican committee control under Chair Comer makes a bipartisan vote unlikely amid partisan gridlock on Trump-era probes. Historical precedents like delayed Bannon and Navarro cases underscore the lengthy process—committee referral, full House vote, DOJ prosecution—that fits poorly within the two-week window. Realistic upsets include a surprise Oversight markup or bipartisan revolt if new Epstein revelations emerge, but traders see slim odds amid political inertia.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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