Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a male 2028 Democratic presidential nominee at 72%, driven by early leader Gavin Newsom's 27% implied odds in the related nominee market, ahead of women like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8%) and Kamala Harris (6%). This positioning stems from Democrats' post-2024 election recalibration after Harris's defeat, with polling averages showing her at 28% nationally but fragmented support amid demands for fresh leadership; rising male contenders like Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and Jon Ossoff gain traction through midterm positioning and national profiles. Harris's April 10 statement musing about another run elicited cheers from activists but failed to shift trader sentiment, as Gretchen Whitmer has downplayed presidential ambitions. 2026 midterms loom as a key test for emerging primary paths.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a male 2028 Democratic presidential nominee at 72%, driven by early leader Gavin Newsom's 27% implied odds in the related nominee market, ahead of women like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8%) and Kamala Harris (6%). This positioning stems from Democrats' post-2024 election recalibration after Harris's defeat, with polling averages showing her at 28% nationally but fragmented support amid demands for fresh leadership; rising male contenders like Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and Jon Ossoff gain traction through midterm positioning and national profiles. Harris's April 10 statement musing about another run elicited cheers from activists but failed to shift trader sentiment, as Gretchen Whitmer has downplayed presidential ambitions. 2026 midterms loom as a key test for emerging primary paths.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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