US-Iran diplomacy remains indirect amid ongoing negotiations following the 2026 conflict and leadership transition, with Mojtaba Khamenei installed as Supreme Leader after his father's death. President Trump has publicly stated openness to a meeting, describing himself as honored and expecting one eventually depending on progress, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have rejected direct talks at the supreme leader level as unrealistic. Traders price a direct conversation by December 31, 2026 at low probability, reflecting barriers such as procedural preferences for lower-level channels, persistent tensions over nuclear issues and sanctions, and the absence of confirmed high-level scheduling. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in ceasefire frameworks, sanctions relief talks, or official statements from either side that could alter the diplomatic track before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ट्रम्प मोजतबा खामेनेई से बात करेंगे...?
$619,748 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
8%
$619,748 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
8%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains indirect amid ongoing negotiations following the 2026 conflict and leadership transition, with Mojtaba Khamenei installed as Supreme Leader after his father's death. President Trump has publicly stated openness to a meeting, describing himself as honored and expecting one eventually depending on progress, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have rejected direct talks at the supreme leader level as unrealistic. Traders price a direct conversation by December 31, 2026 at low probability, reflecting barriers such as procedural preferences for lower-level channels, persistent tensions over nuclear issues and sanctions, and the absence of confirmed high-level scheduling. Key upcoming catalysts include any shifts in ceasefire frameworks, sanctions relief talks, or official statements from either side that could alter the diplomatic track before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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