Harry Kane tops the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 27.1% implied probability after a record 61-goal season for Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and a third straight Golden Boot. His volume scoring and domestic double separate him from the chasing pack in a wide-open field. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.0% on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga success and elite creative output despite Champions League elimination, while Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) and Vitinha (10.9%) benefit from PSG’s strong campaign and prior recognition. Michael Olise (8.2%) gains from his Bayern partnership with Kane. With the World Cup looming, traders price in how international performances could reorder the leaderboard among these leading contenders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Harry Kane 27.1%
Lamine Yamal 14%
Ousmane Dembélé 11.4%
Vitinha 10.9%
$4,013,197 Vol.
$4,013,197 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Ousmane Dembélé
11%
Vitinha
11%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Michael Olise
8%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.1%
Lamine Yamal 14%
Ousmane Dembélé 11.4%
Vitinha 10.9%
$4,013,197 Vol.
$4,013,197 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Ousmane Dembélé
11%
Vitinha
11%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Michael Olise
8%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane tops the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 27.1% implied probability after a record 61-goal season for Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and a third straight Golden Boot. His volume scoring and domestic double separate him from the chasing pack in a wide-open field. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.0% on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga success and elite creative output despite Champions League elimination, while Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) and Vitinha (10.9%) benefit from PSG’s strong campaign and prior recognition. Michael Olise (8.2%) gains from his Bayern partnership with Kane. With the World Cup looming, traders price in how international performances could reorder the leaderboard among these leading contenders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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