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Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

Market icon

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

Harry Kane 30.1%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Michael Olise 16%

Kylian Mbappé 15%

Polymarket

$2,341,066 Vol.

Harry Kane 30.1%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Michael Olise 16%

Kylian Mbappé 15%

Polymarket

$2,341,066 Vol.

Harry Kane

$644,119 Vol.

30%

Lamine Yamal

$49,081 Vol.

16%

Michael Olise

$17,461 Vol.

16%

Kylian Mbappé

$81,740 Vol.

15%

Vitinha

$3,541 Vol.

6%

Declan Rice

$6,354 Vol.

6%

Ousmane Dembélé

$301,034 Vol.

6%

Julian Alvarez

$2,709 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$236,656 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$3,716 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$3,445 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$187,511 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$2,491 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$205,098 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$3,789 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$2,346 Vol.

1%

Cole Palmer

$30,645 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$2,435 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$117,632 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$429,635 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$2,899 Vol.

<1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$2,599 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$2,013 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$2,116 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane tops trader consensus at 30.1% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, driven by Bayern Munich's Champions League quarter-final elimination of Real Madrid—where he starred—and his Bundesliga-leading 31 goals in 26 appearances plus 48 total goals this season. Teammate Michael Olise ranks second at 15.5%, elevated by March Player of the Month honors, 12 goals and 18 assists in 27 games, and dominant showings against Madrid that earned praise from club legend Oliver Kahn. Mbappé and Yamal, tied at 14.5%, slipped after Real's exit and Barcelona's form dips, underscoring the market's focus on Champions League momentum, goal tallies, and big-game impact midway through the 2025-26 campaign.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$2,341,066
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane tops trader consensus at 30.1% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, driven by Bayern Munich's Champions League quarter-final elimination of Real Madrid—where he starred—and his Bundesliga-leading 31 goals in 26 appearances plus 48 total goals this season. Teammate Michael Olise ranks second at 15.5%, elevated by March Player of the Month honors, 12 goals and 18 assists in 27 games, and dominant showings against Madrid that earned praise from club legend Oliver Kahn. Mbappé and Yamal, tied at 14.5%, slipped after Real's exit and Barcelona's form dips, underscoring the market's focus on Champions League momentum, goal tallies, and big-game impact midway through the 2025-26 campaign.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$2,341,066
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 24 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Harry Kane" di 30%, diikuti oleh "Lamine Yamal" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 30¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" telah menghasilkan $2.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026," jelajahi 24 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah "Harry Kane" di 30%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lamine Yamal" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.