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icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

Harry Kane 62.9%

Lamine Yamal 14.4%

Kylian Mbappé 10.5%

Rodri 6%

Polymarket

$33,458,700 Vol.

Harry Kane 62.9%

Lamine Yamal 14.4%

Kylian Mbappé 10.5%

Rodri 6%

Polymarket

$33,458,700 Vol.

Harry Kane

$4,038,601 Vol.

63%

Lamine Yamal

$2,151,387 Vol.

14%

Kylian Mbappé

$2,075,895 Vol.

11%

Rodri

$1,492,580 Vol.

6%

Lionel Messi

$2,407,713 Vol.

3%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,455,262 Vol.

2%

Fabian Ruiz

$1,117,275 Vol.

1%

Ousmane Dembélé

$2,183,735 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$1,512,355 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,255,523 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$820,130 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$1,505,807 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,068,433 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$864,656 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$711,222 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$490,016 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,083 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$440,734 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$911,218 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 62.9% implied probability following a record 73-goal season for Bayern Munich and England, including a Bundesliga-DFB-Pokal double and six World Cup goals as England finished third. Traders cite his unmatched consistency, European Golden Shoe, and club trophies as decisive after the shortlist release. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.4% on the back of Spain’s World Cup victory and Barcelona form, though an injury limited his tournament impact. Kylian Mbappé at 10.5% and Rodri at 5.5% reflect Real Madrid and Spain contributions without matching Kane’s individual output, while Messi’s 3.0% accounts for Argentina’s runner-up finish before his international retirement. The market reflects voter emphasis on combined club-country volume and silverware over the 2025-26 campaign.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$33,458,700
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 62.9% implied probability following a record 73-goal season for Bayern Munich and England, including a Bundesliga-DFB-Pokal double and six World Cup goals as England finished third. Traders cite his unmatched consistency, European Golden Shoe, and club trophies as decisive after the shortlist release. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.4% on the back of Spain’s World Cup victory and Barcelona form, though an injury limited his tournament impact. Kylian Mbappé at 10.5% and Rodri at 5.5% reflect Real Madrid and Spain contributions without matching Kane’s individual output, while Messi’s 3.0% accounts for Argentina’s runner-up finish before his international retirement. The market reflects voter emphasis on combined club-country volume and silverware over the 2025-26 campaign.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$33,458,700
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

94%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%
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Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?

14%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 31 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Harry Kane" di 63%, diikuti oleh "Lamine Yamal" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 63¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" telah menghasilkan $33.5 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026," jelajahi 31 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah "Harry Kane" di 63%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lamine Yamal" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.