Harry Kane's record goal tally exceeding 60 across all competitions for Bayern Munich in 2025-26, alongside Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal success, underpins his 27.1% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Ballon d'Or. Lamine Yamal's 15.0% reflects Barcelona's creative dominance and his league-leading chance creation plus dribbling at age 18, while Ousmane Dembélé's 12.0% and Vitinha's 11.2% highlight PSG and Paris Saint-Germain domestic strength paired with high goal-plus-assist outputs. Kylian Mbappé at 8.5% and Michael Olise at 5.9% factor in stylistic matchups and recent form, though the wide field leaves room for World Cup performances or late-season surges to shift positioning among contenders with varying club silverware and individual volume.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Harry Kane 27.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.0%
Vitinha 11.2%
$3,990,381 Vol.
$3,990,381 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Ousmane Dembélé
12%
Vitinha
11%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Michael Olise
6%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.0%
Vitinha 11.2%
$3,990,381 Vol.
$3,990,381 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Ousmane Dembélé
12%
Vitinha
11%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Michael Olise
6%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane's record goal tally exceeding 60 across all competitions for Bayern Munich in 2025-26, alongside Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal success, underpins his 27.1% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner for the 2026 Ballon d'Or. Lamine Yamal's 15.0% reflects Barcelona's creative dominance and his league-leading chance creation plus dribbling at age 18, while Ousmane Dembélé's 12.0% and Vitinha's 11.2% highlight PSG and Paris Saint-Germain domestic strength paired with high goal-plus-assist outputs. Kylian Mbappé at 8.5% and Michael Olise at 5.9% factor in stylistic matchups and recent form, though the wide field leaves room for World Cup performances or late-season surges to shift positioning among contenders with varying club silverware and individual volume.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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