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icon for Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

icon for Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Up

98% peluang
Polymarket

$2,931 Vol.

Up

98% peluang
Polymarket

$2,931 Vol.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded electorate size, driven by increased naturalizations and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-old voters, raised the pool of eligible participants well above the 2023 repeat election baseline of 62.9%. A fragmented, competitive field featuring strong gains for Die Linke and record AfD support created broad mobilization incentives across ideological lines. Midday turnout figures already exceeded prior comparable periods, reflecting these structural and motivational shifts. Trader consensus at 98.5% for higher participation rests on the absence of offsetting barriers in official preparations. Late developments such as adverse weather on election day or unexpected last-minute scandals could still marginally suppress rates, though historical patterns and pre-vote indicators indicate limited scope for reversal.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$2,931
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded electorate size, driven by increased naturalizations and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-old voters, raised the pool of eligible participants well above the 2023 repeat election baseline of 62.9%. A fragmented, competitive field featuring strong gains for Die Linke and record AfD support created broad mobilization incentives across ideological lines. Midday turnout figures already exceeded prior comparable periods, reflecting these structural and motivational shifts. Trader consensus at 98.5% for higher participation rests on the absence of offsetting barriers in official preparations. Late developments such as adverse weather on election day or unexpected last-minute scandals could still marginally suppress rates, though historical patterns and pre-vote indicators indicate limited scope for reversal.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" adalah prediction market harian di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham tentang apakah harga Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? akan berakhir lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga pembukaannya selama jendela harian yang ditentukan dalam judul. Probabilitas market saat ini adalah 100% untuk "Up." Harga 100% berarti market secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% untuk hasil tersebut. Harga diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?. Saham pada hasil yang benar dapat ditukarkan seharga $1 per lembar saat market diselesaikan.

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" adalah market jangka pendek aktif di Polymarket. Volume trading bisa terakumulasi cepat seiring jendela harian berjalan — masuk lebih awal untuk membantu menentukan odds sebelum jendela ini ditutup.

Untuk trading di "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?," tentukan apakah kamu percaya harga Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal September 20 akan lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal August 6. Beli "Up" jika kamu pikir harga akan naik dari hari ke hari, atau "Down" jika kamu pikir akan turun. Masukkan jumlahnya dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil yang kamu pilih benar saat penyelesaian, setiap saham bernilai $1.00. Jika salah, saham bernilai $0.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" adalah 100% untuk "Up," artinya kerumunan Polymarket saat ini memberikan peluang 100% bahwa harga Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? akan berakhir up selama jendela harian ini. Odds ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap data harga live Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?. Selama satu hari penuh, odds mencerminkan sentimen yang berkembang seiring aksi harga hari itu terungkap. Cek kembali secara berkala atau trading sekarang sebelum jendela ditutup.

Market "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" diselesaikan berdasarkan perbandingan harga Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal September 20 versus pukul 12 siang ET tanggal August 6, menggunakan harga penutupan candle 1 menit Binance BERLIN-STATE-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT. Jika harga siang tanggal September 20 lebih tinggi, hasilnya "Up"; jika lebih rendah, "Down"; jika sama, market diselesaikan 50-50. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria penyelesaian lengkap dan sumber data di bagian "Rules" di halaman ini.