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icon for Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

icon for Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

8% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
8% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Bethesda Game Studios has not announced a release window for The Elder Scrolls VI, and recent statements from director Todd Howard describe the title as still a long way off despite solid progress on Creation Engine 3. Full production only ramped up after earlier projects wrapped, and the studio continues prioritizing other releases and remasters through 2026. AAA open-world RPGs from Bethesda historically require extended post-announcement cycles, with no marketing materials or internal milestones signaling a launch before year-end. Traders see these factors driving the strong consensus behind the “No” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
Volume
$2,955
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Bethesda Game Studios has not announced a release window for The Elder Scrolls VI, and recent statements from director Todd Howard describe the title as still a long way off despite solid progress on Creation Engine 3. Full production only ramped up after earlier projects wrapped, and the studio continues prioritizing other releases and remasters through 2026. AAA open-world RPGs from Bethesda historically require extended post-announcement cycles, with no marketing materials or internal milestones signaling a launch before year-end. Traders see these factors driving the strong consensus behind the “No” outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
Volume
$2,955
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 11% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 11¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 11% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Mar 18, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?" adalah 11% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 11% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.