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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)

The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny 100.0%

The Golden Globes <1%

The Grammys <1%

The Oscars <1%

Polymarket

$73,623 Vol.

The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny 100.0%

The Golden Globes <1%

The Grammys <1%

The Oscars <1%

Polymarket

$73,623 Vol.

The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny

$53,689 Vol.

Yes

The Golden Globes

$3,401 Vol.

No

The Grammys

$2,960 Vol.

No

The Oscars

$9,003 Vol.

No

The Tonys

$4,570 Vol.

No

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny holds overwhelming market-implied odds due to its record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for any halftime performance—along with strong critical reception, 128 million viewers, and its status as the first Spanish-language entry in the category. Nominees in Outstanding Variety Special (Live) include the Golden Globes, Grammys, Oscars, and Tonys, but the halftime show’s technical achievements in directing, choreography, sound mixing, and production design, plus its cultural milestone drawing on Puerto Rican traditions and high-profile guests, have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner position. Historical precedent favors major live events with broad appeal and precursor momentum in guild and critics’ recognition. An upset would require an unprecedented surge for one of the awards broadcasts, though the halftime show’s September 5 Creative Arts win in the category has further entrenched the outcome ahead of the September 14 ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$73,623
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny holds overwhelming market-implied odds due to its record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for any halftime performance—along with strong critical reception, 128 million viewers, and its status as the first Spanish-language entry in the category. Nominees in Outstanding Variety Special (Live) include the Golden Globes, Grammys, Oscars, and Tonys, but the halftime show’s technical achievements in directing, choreography, sound mixing, and production design, plus its cultural milestone drawing on Puerto Rican traditions and high-profile guests, have solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner position. Historical precedent favors major live events with broad appeal and precursor momentum in guild and critics’ recognition. An upset would require an unprecedented surge for one of the awards broadcasts, though the halftime show’s September 5 Creative Arts win in the category has further entrenched the outcome ahead of the September 14 ceremony.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$73,623
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny" di 100%, diikuti oleh "The Golden Globes" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)" telah menghasilkan $73.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 9, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)" adalah "The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "The Golden Globes" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.