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Eurovision 2026: Semi Final Pertama

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Semi Final Pertama

$475,047 Vol.

May 12, 2026
Polymarket

$475,047 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Finland

$334,215 Vol.

98%

Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Sweden

$3,137 Vol.

98%

Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Greece

$5,034 Vol.

97%

Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Israel

$19,737 Vol.

92%

Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Moldova

$18,870 Vol.

89%

Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Serbia

$6,334 Vol.

80%

Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Croatia

$7,990 Vol.

77%

Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Lithuania

$3,176 Vol.

66%

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Montenegro

$6,185 Vol.

64%

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Poland

$8,959 Vol.

48%

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Portugal

$34,677 Vol.

40%

Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Estonia

$6,915 Vol.

36%

Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Georgia

$2,185 Vol.

36%

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Belgium

$10,035 Vol.

31%

Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

San Marino

$7,598 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$475,047
Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$475,047
Tanggal Berakhir
May 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Eurovision 2026: Semi Final Pertama" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Finland" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Sweden" di 98%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Eurovision 2026: Semi Final Pertama" telah menghasilkan $475K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Eurovision 2026: Semi Final Pertama," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Eurovision 2026: Semi Final Pertama" adalah "Finland" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sweden" di 98%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Eurovision 2026: Semi Final Pertama" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.