Mercedes holds an overwhelming 84.5% implied probability as 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion after building a substantial points cushion (379 to Ferrari's 307) through superior adaptation to the season's sweeping regulatory overhaul, including lighter, nimbler cars and evolved hybrid power units. The team's consistent front-running results, driven by Kimi Antonelli's breakout campaign and George Russell's reliability, have compounded advantages in qualifying and race pace. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger at 11.6% on the back of Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc's scoring, yet trails significantly after mid-season inconsistencies. McLaren, Red Bull, and the rest sit further adrift with minimal realistic paths to close the gap over remaining rounds. Trader consensus reflects the standings dominance and limited scope for major swings absent major reliability issues or further rule adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMercedes 85%
Ferrari 11.5%
McLaren 1.6%
Racing Bulls <1%
$28,158,427 Vol.
$28,158,427 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
85%
Ferrari
12%
McLaren
2%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Red Bull Racing
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Williams
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 85%
Ferrari 11.5%
McLaren 1.6%
Racing Bulls <1%
$28,158,427 Vol.
$28,158,427 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
$1,034,997 Vol.
85%
Ferrari
$712,935 Vol.
12%
McLaren
$1,747,505 Vol.
2%
Racing Bulls
$3,163,176 Vol.
<1%
Red Bull Racing
$851,060 Vol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$3,220,772 Vol.
<1%
Williams
$3,808,174 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$3,245,163 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,708,648 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$3,316,067 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,349,930 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds an overwhelming 84.5% implied probability as 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion after building a substantial points cushion (379 to Ferrari's 307) through superior adaptation to the season's sweeping regulatory overhaul, including lighter, nimbler cars and evolved hybrid power units. The team's consistent front-running results, driven by Kimi Antonelli's breakout campaign and George Russell's reliability, have compounded advantages in qualifying and race pace. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger at 11.6% on the back of Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc's scoring, yet trails significantly after mid-season inconsistencies. McLaren, Red Bull, and the rest sit further adrift with minimal realistic paths to close the gap over remaining rounds. Trader consensus reflects the standings dominance and limited scope for major swings absent major reliability issues or further rule adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$28,158,427Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds an overwhelming 84.5% implied probability as 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion after building a substantial points cushion (379 to Ferrari's 307) through superior adaptation to the season's sweeping regulatory overhaul, including lighter, nimbler cars and evolved hybrid power units. The team's consistent front-running results, driven by Kimi Antonelli's breakout campaign and George Russell's reliability, have compounded advantages in qualifying and race pace. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger at 11.6% on the back of Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc's scoring, yet trails significantly after mid-season inconsistencies. McLaren, Red Bull, and the rest sit further adrift with minimal realistic paths to close the gap over remaining rounds. Trader consensus reflects the standings dominance and limited scope for major swings absent major reliability issues or further rule adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$28,158,427Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds an overwhelming 84.5% implied probability as 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion after building a substantial points cushion (379 to Ferrari's 307) through superior adaptation to the season's sweeping regulatory overhaul, including lighter, nimbler cars and evolved hybrid power units. The team's consistent front-running results, driven by Kimi Antonelli's breakout campaign and George Russell's reliability, have compounded advantages in qualifying and race pace. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger at 11.6% on the back of Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc's scoring, yet trails significantly after mid-season inconsistencies. McLaren, Red Bull, and the rest sit further adrift with minimal realistic paths to close the gap over remaining rounds. Trader consensus reflects the standings dominance and limited scope for major swings absent major reliability issues or further rule adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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