The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has driven the strong market consensus around no prison time. Prosecutors must decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, but repeated hung juries and evidentiary issues from prior appeals have eroded momentum for further convictions in the state case. Weinstein, now 74 and medically fragile, continues serving time on his appealed 16-year California sentence from 2022, yet the pattern of mistrials and ongoing appeals has shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of eventual release or minimal additional penalties. A June 24 hearing remains the next key catalyst that could alter the current implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWaktu penjara Harvey Weinstein?
Waktu penjara Harvey Weinstein?
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara 83.5%
20-30 years 7.2%
10-20 tahun 4.3%
5-10 tahun 3.3%
$1,065,284 Vol.
$1,065,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara
84%
<5 tahun
3%
5-10 tahun
3%
10-20 tahun
4%
20-30 years
7%
Lebih dari 30 tahun
3%
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara 83.5%
20-30 years 7.2%
10-20 tahun 4.3%
5-10 tahun 3.3%
$1,065,284 Vol.
$1,065,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara
$373,008 Vol.
84%
<5 tahun
$139,342 Vol.
3%
5-10 tahun
$88,765 Vol.
3%
10-20 tahun
$168,180 Vol.
4%
20-30 years
$211,381 Vol.
7%
Lebih dari 30 tahun
$84,617 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has driven the strong market consensus around no prison time. Prosecutors must decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, but repeated hung juries and evidentiary issues from prior appeals have eroded momentum for further convictions in the state case. Weinstein, now 74 and medically fragile, continues serving time on his appealed 16-year California sentence from 2022, yet the pattern of mistrials and ongoing appeals has shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of eventual release or minimal additional penalties. A June 24 hearing remains the next key catalyst that could alter the current implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,065,284Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2025Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has driven the strong market consensus around no prison time. Prosecutors must decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, but repeated hung juries and evidentiary issues from prior appeals have eroded momentum for further convictions in the state case. Weinstein, now 74 and medically fragile, continues serving time on his appealed 16-year California sentence from 2022, yet the pattern of mistrials and ongoing appeals has shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of eventual release or minimal additional penalties. A June 24 hearing remains the next key catalyst that could alter the current implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,065,284Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2025Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has driven the strong market consensus around no prison time. Prosecutors must decide by late June whether to pursue a fourth trial, but repeated hung juries and evidentiary issues from prior appeals have eroded momentum for further convictions in the state case. Weinstein, now 74 and medically fragile, continues serving time on his appealed 16-year California sentence from 2022, yet the pattern of mistrials and ongoing appeals has shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of eventual release or minimal additional penalties. A June 24 hearing remains the next key catalyst that could alter the current implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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