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Politik·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 9%

Michael Echols 1.8%

Austin Magee 1.8%

Rick Edmonds 1.5%

Polymarket

$43,178 Vol.

Blake Miguez 9%

Michael Echols 1.8%

Austin Magee 1.8%

Rick Edmonds 1.5%

Polymarket

$43,178 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$21,804 Vol.

9%

Michael Echols

$10,616 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$1,285 Vol.

2%

Rick Edmonds

$1,281 Vol.

2%

Misti Cordell

$991 Vol.

1%

Michael Mebruer

$1,235 Vol.

1%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,966 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The wide-open Republican primary for Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District shows no candidate consolidating support, as reflected in the low probabilities assigned to all contenders. Blake Miguez holds a modest edge among traders, supported by his Trump endorsement, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $3.9 million, and name recognition from state Senate service, while state Rep. Michael Echols trails closely in early polling and fundraising. Other entrants, including state Sen. Rick Edmonds, Misti Cordell, and lesser-known challengers, remain fragmented with limited resources and visibility. Key differentiators include campaign infrastructure, television advertising reach, and ability to build coalitions ahead of the November 3 nonpartisan primary; further endorsements, internal polls, or turnout operations in coming months could shift the field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$43,178
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The wide-open Republican primary for Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District shows no candidate consolidating support, as reflected in the low probabilities assigned to all contenders. Blake Miguez holds a modest edge among traders, supported by his Trump endorsement, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $3.9 million, and name recognition from state Senate service, while state Rep. Michael Echols trails closely in early polling and fundraising. Other entrants, including state Sen. Rick Edmonds, Misti Cordell, and lesser-known challengers, remain fragmented with limited resources and visibility. Key differentiators include campaign infrastructure, television advertising reach, and ability to build coalitions ahead of the November 3 nonpartisan primary; further endorsements, internal polls, or turnout operations in coming months could shift the field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$43,178
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Blake Miguez" di 9%, diikuti oleh "Michael Echols" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 9¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 9% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $43.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Blake Miguez" di hanya 9%, dengan "Michael Echols" mengejar ketat di 2%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.