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Politik·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Rick Edmonds 4.4%

Samuel Wyatt 3.0%

Misti Cordell 1.9%

Michael Mebruer 1.7%

Polymarket

$29,726 Vol.

Rick Edmonds 4.4%

Samuel Wyatt 3.0%

Misti Cordell 1.9%

Michael Mebruer 1.7%

Polymarket

$29,726 Vol.

Rick Edmonds

$76 Vol.

4%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,173 Vol.

3%

Misti Cordell

$311 Vol.

2%

Michael Mebruer

$104 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$310 Vol.

1%

Michael Echols

$8,361 Vol.

47%

Blake Miguez

$15,390 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 57% implied probability in the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, propelled by his campaign's April 15 disclosure of $4 million cash on hand—far outpacing rivals—and a Rainey Center Freedom Project poll released days earlier framing a tight two-man race with state Rep. Michael Echols (30%). Miguez's edge stems from President Trump's February endorsement and quick post-qualifying momentum after switching from a Senate bid, despite ongoing residency attacks questioning his ties to the district spanning northeast Louisiana. Echols holds as the chief challenger with district roots, while lower-tier candidates like Rick Edmonds lag in an open-seat contest triggered by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate run; final forums and turnout will decide advancement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,726
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 57% implied probability in the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, propelled by his campaign's April 15 disclosure of $4 million cash on hand—far outpacing rivals—and a Rainey Center Freedom Project poll released days earlier framing a tight two-man race with state Rep. Michael Echols (30%). Miguez's edge stems from President Trump's February endorsement and quick post-qualifying momentum after switching from a Senate bid, despite ongoing residency attacks questioning his ties to the district spanning northeast Louisiana. Echols holds as the chief challenger with district roots, while lower-tier candidates like Rick Edmonds lag in an open-seat contest triggered by Rep. Julia Letlow's Senate run; final forums and turnout will decide advancement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,726
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Blake Miguez" di 49%, diikuti oleh "Michael Echols" di 47%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 49¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $29.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Blake Miguez" di 49%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Michael Echols" di 47%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.