Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back wins in Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors under 100 Fortnite deaths at 76.5% implied probability because Lacy’s FNCS champion pedigree supports efficient, low-death runs in battle royale formats, while early stream data showed only 47 Fortnite deaths after roughly 51 hours amid multiple full restarts triggered by Minecraft creeper explosions. The duo’s prior successful endurance efforts, including a four-day Minecraft marathon in 2025, reinforce expectations of controlled attempts once coordination stabilizes, though fatigue and coordination variables in the multi-game format could still elevate totals if further resets occur before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<100 77%
100-199 14.5%
200-299 5.1%
300-399 4.0%
$55,521 Vol.
$55,521 Vol.
<100
77%
100-199
15%
200-299
5%
300-399
4%
400-499
<1%
500-599
<1%
600-699
<1%
700-799
<1%
800-899
<1%
900-999
<1%
1000+
<1%
<100 77%
100-199 14.5%
200-299 5.1%
300-399 4.0%
$55,521 Vol.
$55,521 Vol.
<100
77%
100-199
15%
200-299
5%
300-399
4%
400-499
<1%
500-599
<1%
600-699
<1%
700-799
<1%
800-899
<1%
900-999
<1%
1000+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous gaming gauntlet marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back wins in Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors under 100 Fortnite deaths at 76.5% implied probability because Lacy’s FNCS champion pedigree supports efficient, low-death runs in battle royale formats, while early stream data showed only 47 Fortnite deaths after roughly 51 hours amid multiple full restarts triggered by Minecraft creeper explosions. The duo’s prior successful endurance efforts, including a four-day Minecraft marathon in 2025, reinforce expectations of controlled attempts once coordination stabilizes, though fatigue and coordination variables in the multi-game format could still elevate totals if further resets occur before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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