Yordan Alvarez holds the MLB home run lead with 35 through early August 2026, supported by a .324 average and 1.079 OPS that reflect consistent power production in the Astros lineup. Kyle Schwarber sits at 33, having been the first to reach 30 earlier in the campaign while posting strong on-base numbers for the Phillies. The gap between the top two and the rest of the field keeps Alvarez as the clear trader favorite at 45.1% implied probability, though Schwarber’s 29.5% reflects the remaining schedule and potential for late surges. Lower-probability names such as Ben Rice and James Wood trail significantly and would require exceptional second-half output to close the deficit.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiYordan Alvarez 46.0%
Kyle Schwarber 31%
Ben Rice 3.5%
James Wood 3.0%
$3,115,922 Vol.
$3,115,922 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
46%
Kyle Schwarber
31%
Ben Rice
3%
James Wood
3%
Junior Caminero
3%
Matt Olson
2%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 46.0%
Kyle Schwarber 31%
Ben Rice 3.5%
James Wood 3.0%
$3,115,922 Vol.
$3,115,922 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
46%
Kyle Schwarber
31%
Ben Rice
3%
James Wood
3%
Junior Caminero
3%
Matt Olson
2%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Yordan Alvarez holds the MLB home run lead with 35 through early August 2026, supported by a .324 average and 1.079 OPS that reflect consistent power production in the Astros lineup. Kyle Schwarber sits at 33, having been the first to reach 30 earlier in the campaign while posting strong on-base numbers for the Phillies. The gap between the top two and the rest of the field keeps Alvarez as the clear trader favorite at 45.1% implied probability, though Schwarber’s 29.5% reflects the remaining schedule and potential for late surges. Lower-probability names such as Ben Rice and James Wood trail significantly and would require exceptional second-half output to close the deficit.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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