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icon for Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya
Dunia·Pemilihan Umum Prancis

Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya

icon for Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya
Dunia·Pemilihan Umum Prancis

Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.7%

Polymarket

$133,086,830 Vol.

Marine Le Pen 34.4%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 8.7%

Polymarket

$133,086,830 Vol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,421,596 Vol.

34%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,594,902 Vol.

28%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,435,079 Vol.

12%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,143,112 Vol.

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,781,047 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,268,820 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,111,700 Vol.

2%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,250,814 Vol.

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,728,092 Vol.

2%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,873,433 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,065,160 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,313,076 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,683,219 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,260,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,943,633 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$3,652,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,154,174 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,691,147 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$863,669 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$5,722,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,672 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,939,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,192 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,337,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$4,826,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,509 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction but reduced her ineligibility period, clearing her to run and prompting her formal candidacy. Recent September polls place her at 32–35% in the first round, ahead of Édouard Philippe (15–20%) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (15–17%), with the National Rally bloc benefiting from stable support near historic highs. Philippe has consolidated ground among centrists over Gabriel Attal, while the left remains divided across multiple declared candidates. The crowded field risks splitting anti-RN votes, yet second-round head-to-head surveys show Le Pen prevailing narrowly against Philippe and more decisively against others. Traders price these dynamics into the market, with the outcome hinging on whether the center narrows to one contender before the April first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$133,086,830
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction but reduced her ineligibility period, clearing her to run and prompting her formal candidacy. Recent September polls place her at 32–35% in the first round, ahead of Édouard Philippe (15–20%) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (15–17%), with the National Rally bloc benefiting from stable support near historic highs. Philippe has consolidated ground among centrists over Gabriel Attal, while the left remains divided across multiple declared candidates. The crowded field risks splitting anti-RN votes, yet second-round head-to-head surveys show Le Pen prevailing narrowly against Philippe and more decisively against others. Traders price these dynamics into the market, with the outcome hinging on whether the center narrows to one contender before the April first round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$133,086,830
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

89%
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

69%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 41+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Marine Le Pen" di 34%, diikuti oleh "Édouard Philippe" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 34¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" telah menghasilkan $133.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya," jelajahi 41+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" adalah "Marine Le Pen" di 34%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Édouard Philippe" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.