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Politik·Jangka Menengah

NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Jangka Menengah

NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner

BARU
Polymarket
BARU

LaMonica McIver

$3,639 Vol.

98%

Lawrence Poster

$2,367 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, having succeeded Donald Payne Jr. following his 2024 death and securing endorsements from all three county Democratic organizations in the district. She has also demonstrated substantial fundraising strength through early 2026 filings. Challenger Lawrence Poster, a 77-year-old West Orange resident emphasizing middle-class priorities, entered the race recently with limited reported resources or institutional backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes could still shift if unusually high turnout or last-minute developments alter voter mobilization in this heavily Democratic district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,006
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, having succeeded Donald Payne Jr. following his 2024 death and securing endorsements from all three county Democratic organizations in the district. She has also demonstrated substantial fundraising strength through early 2026 filings. Challenger Lawrence Poster, a 77-year-old West Orange resident emphasizing middle-class priorities, entered the race recently with limited reported resources or institutional backing ahead of the June 2 primary. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes could still shift if unusually high turnout or last-minute developments alter voter mobilization in this heavily Democratic district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,006
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2026, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "LaMonica McIver" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Lawrence Poster" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "LaMonica McIver" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lawrence Poster" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NJ-10 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.