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Teknologi·Indikator Makro

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Market icon
Teknologi·Indikator Makro

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Up

96% peluang
Polymarket
BARU

Up

96% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced "Up" at an implied 87.2% probability for tech layoffs in Q1 2026, driven by trackers like TrueUp.io reporting over 95,000 jobs cut year-to-date—far exceeding Q4 2025 levels—with nearly half tied to AI-driven restructuring. Major catalysts include Oracle's thousands of cuts linked to AI data center expansions, Amazon's 16,000 reductions for efficiency, and waves at Atlassian and Meta, as confirmed by early April Challenger Gray reports showing a 40% year-over-year surge. This reflects broader corporate shifts prioritizing artificial intelligence investments amid softening demand, though final tallies ahead of market resolution could introduce minor adjustments.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,790
Tanggal Berakhir
May 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced "Up" at an implied 87.2% probability for tech layoffs in Q1 2026, driven by trackers like TrueUp.io reporting over 95,000 jobs cut year-to-date—far exceeding Q4 2025 levels—with nearly half tied to AI-driven restructuring. Major catalysts include Oracle's thousands of cuts linked to AI data center expansions, Amazon's 16,000 reductions for efficiency, and waves at Atlassian and Meta, as confirmed by early April Challenger Gray reports showing a 40% year-over-year surge. This reflects broader corporate shifts prioritizing artificial intelligence investments amid softening demand, though final tallies ahead of market resolution could introduce minor adjustments.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,790
Tanggal Berakhir
May 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?" adalah prediction market harian di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham tentang apakah harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? akan berakhir lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga pembukaannya selama jendela harian yang ditentukan dalam judul. Probabilitas market saat ini adalah 96% untuk "Up." Harga 96% berarti market secara kolektif memberikan peluang 96% untuk hasil tersebut. Harga diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?. Saham pada hasil yang benar dapat ditukarkan seharga $1 per lembar saat market diselesaikan.

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?" adalah market jangka pendek aktif di Polymarket. Volume trading bisa terakumulasi cepat seiring jendela harian berjalan — masuk lebih awal untuk membantu menentukan odds sebelum jendela ini ditutup.

Untuk trading di "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?," tentukan apakah kamu percaya harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal May 4 akan lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal March 20. Beli "Up" jika kamu pikir harga akan naik dari hari ke hari, atau "Down" jika kamu pikir akan turun. Masukkan jumlahnya dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil yang kamu pilih benar saat penyelesaian, setiap saham bernilai $1.00. Jika salah, saham bernilai $0.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?" adalah 96% untuk "Up," artinya kerumunan Polymarket saat ini memberikan peluang 96% bahwa harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? akan berakhir up selama jendela harian ini. Odds ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap data harga live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?. Selama satu hari penuh, odds mencerminkan sentimen yang berkembang seiring aksi harga hari itu terungkap. Cek kembali secara berkala atau trading sekarang sebelum jendela ditutup.

Market "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?" diselesaikan berdasarkan perbandingan harga Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal May 4 versus pukul 12 siang ET tanggal March 20, menggunakan harga penutupan candle 1 menit Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Jika harga siang tanggal May 4 lebih tinggi, hasilnya "Up"; jika lebih rendah, "Down"; jika sama, market diselesaikan 50-50. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria penyelesaian lengkap dan sumber data di bagian "Rules" di halaman ini.