Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Steve Erceg at 93% implied probability to defeat Tim Elliott in their flyweight main card clash at UFC Perth on May 2, driven by Erceg's home-crowd advantage at RAC Arena, superior striking volume, and recent win snapping a three-fight skid, positioning him as #6-ranked contender. Veteran Elliott (#12-14), riding momentum from two straight first-round submissions—including over Kai Asakura in August 2025—brings chaotic wrestling and grappling pressure but faces stylistic disadvantages against Erceg's knockout reach and power. No confirmed injuries or withdrawals; weigh-ins on May 1 could prompt late changes, while Elliott's long travel adds fatigue risk amid Erceg's favorable matchup history in Australia.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiThis market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026.
It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Elliott defeats Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Erceg defeats Tim Elliott at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Steve Erceg at 93% implied probability to defeat Tim Elliott in their flyweight main card clash at UFC Perth on May 2, driven by Erceg's home-crowd advantage at RAC Arena, superior striking volume, and recent win snapping a three-fight skid, positioning him as #6-ranked contender. Veteran Elliott (#12-14), riding momentum from two straight first-round submissions—including over Kai Asakura in August 2025—brings chaotic wrestling and grappling pressure but faces stylistic disadvantages against Erceg's knockout reach and power. No confirmed injuries or withdrawals; weigh-ins on May 1 could prompt late changes, while Elliott's long travel adds fatigue risk amid Erceg's favorable matchup history in Australia.
This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026.
It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
May 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026.
It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Elliott defeats Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Erceg defeats Tim Elliott at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Tim Elliott and Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Steve Erceg at 93% implied probability to defeat Tim Elliott in their flyweight main card clash at UFC Perth on May 2, driven by Erceg's home-crowd advantage at RAC Arena, superior striking volume, and recent win snapping a three-fight skid, positioning him as #6-ranked contender. Veteran Elliott (#12-14), riding momentum from two straight first-round submissions—including over Kai Asakura in August 2025—brings chaotic wrestling and grappling pressure but faces stylistic disadvantages against Erceg's knockout reach and power. No confirmed injuries or withdrawals; weigh-ins on May 1 could prompt late changes, while Elliott's long travel adds fatigue risk amid Erceg's favorable matchup history in Australia.
This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026.
It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
May 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Steve Erceg at 93% implied probability to defeat Tim Elliott in their flyweight main card clash at UFC Perth on May 2, driven by Erceg's home-crowd advantage at RAC Arena, superior striking volume, and recent win snapping a three-fight skid, positioning him as #6-ranked contender. Veteran Elliott (#12-14), riding momentum from two straight first-round submissions—including over Kai Asakura in August 2025—brings chaotic wrestling and grappling pressure but faces stylistic disadvantages against Erceg's knockout reach and power. No confirmed injuries or withdrawals; weigh-ins on May 1 could prompt late changes, while Elliott's long travel adds fatigue risk amid Erceg's favorable matchup history in Australia.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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