Taylor Swift holds the edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 45.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Madonna at 20.5% and Ariana Grande at 19%, reflecting a tight contest among the six nominees. Madonna’s record 13 nominations, driven by her Confessions II album and short film, plus her opening performance slot—the first in 23 years—have fueled strong trader support and industry narrative momentum. Swift counters with unmatched historical VMA success and consistent year-long streaming and radio dominance, while Grande benefits from recent audience growth. With the Sept. 27 ceremony days away and fan voting underway for select categories, late momentum from reviews, social engagement, or performance impact could still shift the outcome in this closely matched field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVMA Artist of the Year 2026
VMA Artist of the Year 2026
Taylor Swift 35%
Madonna 21%
Ariana Grande 19%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%
BARU
BARU
Sep 27, 2026
Taylor Swift
46%
Madonna
21%
Ariana Grande
19%
Morgan Wallen
2%
Bruno Mars
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
2%
Taylor Swift 35%
Madonna 21%
Ariana Grande 19%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%
BARU
BARU
Sep 27, 2026
Taylor Swift
$444 Vol.
46%
Madonna
$33 Vol.
21%
Ariana Grande
$41 Vol.
19%
Morgan Wallen
$22 Vol.
2%
Bruno Mars
$22 Vol.
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
$24 Vol.
2%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift holds the edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 45.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Madonna at 20.5% and Ariana Grande at 19%, reflecting a tight contest among the six nominees. Madonna’s record 13 nominations, driven by her Confessions II album and short film, plus her opening performance slot—the first in 23 years—have fueled strong trader support and industry narrative momentum. Swift counters with unmatched historical VMA success and consistent year-long streaming and radio dominance, while Grande benefits from recent audience growth. With the Sept. 27 ceremony days away and fan voting underway for select categories, late momentum from reviews, social engagement, or performance impact could still shift the outcome in this closely matched field.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$586Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift holds the edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 45.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Madonna at 20.5% and Ariana Grande at 19%, reflecting a tight contest among the six nominees. Madonna’s record 13 nominations, driven by her Confessions II album and short film, plus her opening performance slot—the first in 23 years—have fueled strong trader support and industry narrative momentum. Swift counters with unmatched historical VMA success and consistent year-long streaming and radio dominance, while Grande benefits from recent audience growth. With the Sept. 27 ceremony days away and fan voting underway for select categories, late momentum from reviews, social engagement, or performance impact could still shift the outcome in this closely matched field.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$586Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift holds the edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 45.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Madonna at 20.5% and Ariana Grande at 19%, reflecting a tight contest among the six nominees. Madonna’s record 13 nominations, driven by her Confessions II album and short film, plus her opening performance slot—the first in 23 years—have fueled strong trader support and industry narrative momentum. Swift counters with unmatched historical VMA success and consistent year-long streaming and radio dominance, while Grande benefits from recent audience growth. With the Sept. 27 ceremony days away and fan voting underway for select categories, late momentum from reviews, social engagement, or performance impact could still shift the outcome in this closely matched field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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