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icon for Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

icon for Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?

39% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
39% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jacob Coxon, a former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher, resigned in early September 2026 and posted a viral warning on X that AI companies are racing toward self-improving superintelligence, with many insiders privately believing it could pose an existential risk to humanity by the end of the decade.** His statements drew immediate bipartisan attention on Capitol Hill, prompting calls from figures including Sen. Bernie Sanders for briefings and potential legislation to pause or regulate advanced AI development, alongside statements from other lawmakers urging hearings or a special session. No public hearing with Coxon has been formally scheduled or announced as of mid-September 2026. Congressional committees move deliberately, and the short window to October 31 overlaps with competing legislative priorities, potential partisan divides over the scope of any AI oversight, and procedural steps such as committee approvals and witness coordination. While the episode has accelerated discussion of AI safety and prompted references to future investigations or select committees, trader consensus at 59.5% for “No” reflects the absence of confirmed public testimony plans and the typical lead time required for such appearances.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jacob Coxon, a former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher, resigned in early September 2026 and posted a viral warning on X that AI companies are racing toward self-improving superintelligence, with many insiders privately believing it could pose an existential risk to humanity by the end of the decade.** His statements drew immediate bipartisan attention on Capitol Hill, prompting calls from figures including Sen. Bernie Sanders for briefings and potential legislation to pause or regulate advanced AI development, alongside statements from other lawmakers urging hearings or a special session. No public hearing with Coxon has been formally scheduled or announced as of mid-September 2026. Congressional committees move deliberately, and the short window to October 31 overlaps with competing legislative priorities, potential partisan divides over the scope of any AI oversight, and procedural steps such as committee approvals and witness coordination. While the episode has accelerated discussion of AI safety and prompted references to future investigations or select committees, trader consensus at 59.5% for “No” reflects the absence of confirmed public testimony plans and the typical lead time required for such appearances.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

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"Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 39% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 39¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 39% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" adalah 39% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 39% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.