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Olahraga·Esports

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

Market icon
Olahraga·Esports

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

12% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
12% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors s1mple avoiding retirement by June 30 at 87.6% implied probability on "No," driven by BC.Game CEO's April 15 statement affirming no sale but openness to attractive moves only after his multi-month contract, signaling short-term stability. The Ukrainian AWPer's active 2026 grind—including LAN returns at PGL Bucharest, IEM Atlanta qualifiers, and VRS point accumulation—reinforces commitment post his 2023-2025 break from Natus Vincere. Recent roster tweaks and s1mple's January comments on sharpening form after team synergy underscore momentum, outweighing critiques of tier-2 struggles or passion doubts from peers like Soulfly. Upset risks remain low barring major slumps, injuries, or top-tier buyouts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports.

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$646
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 1, 2025, 6:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors s1mple avoiding retirement by June 30 at 87.6% implied probability on "No," driven by BC.Game CEO's April 15 statement affirming no sale but openness to attractive moves only after his multi-month contract, signaling short-term stability. The Ukrainian AWPer's active 2026 grind—including LAN returns at PGL Bucharest, IEM Atlanta qualifiers, and VRS point accumulation—reinforces commitment post his 2023-2025 break from Natus Vincere. Recent roster tweaks and s1mple's January comments on sharpening form after team synergy underscore momentum, outweighing critiques of tier-2 struggles or passion doubts from peers like Soulfly. Upset risks remain low barring major slumps, injuries, or top-tier buyouts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports.

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$646
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 1, 2025, 6:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will s1mple retire by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 12% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 12¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 12% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will s1mple retire by June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Dec 2, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will s1mple retire by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will s1mple retire by June 30?" adalah 12% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 12% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will s1mple retire by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.