Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui31% peluang
$81,851 Vol.
$81,851 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
31% peluang
$81,851 Vol.
$81,851 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$81,851Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$81,851Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stripe and private equity firm Advent International submitted a joint $60.50-per-share bid for PayPal in July 2026, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion and representing a 28% premium to recent trading levels, yet PayPal’s board has held out for a higher price amid ongoing talks. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation from its February tender offer underscores its capacity, but the absence of a signed agreement, combined with anticipated antitrust review and the need for shareholder approval, leaves substantial execution risk before year-end. PayPal’s depressed share price—far below its 2021 peak—reflects structural challenges in digital payments, yet these same dynamics have not translated into a swift deal close. Trader consensus on a “No” outcome at 69.2% thus embeds the probability that negotiations extend past 2026 or collapse over valuation gaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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