Manchester City's 65.5% implied probability as FA Cup winner stems from their second-place Premier League standing, squad depth, and commanding 4-0 quarter-final rout of Liverpool, bolstered by a favorable semi-final matchup against Championship side Southampton at Wembley on April 25. Chelsea's 23.5% reflects their dominant 7-0 thrashing of Port Vale and strong recent form, positioning them as favorites over Leeds United in the April 26 semi. Leeds (8.8%) and Southampton (2.3%) earned spots via gritty upsets—Leeds over West Ham, Saints 2-1 versus Arsenal—but traders' consensus favors the top-flight giants' experience and firepower in the knockout stages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoManchester City 66%
Chelsea 24%
Leeds United AFC 8.9%
Southampton 1.6%
$425,214 Vol.
$425,214 Vol.
Manchester City
66%
Chelsea
24%
Leeds United AFC
9%
Southampton
2%
Manchester City 66%
Chelsea 24%
Leeds United AFC 8.9%
Southampton 1.6%
$425,214 Vol.
$425,214 Vol.
Manchester City
66%
Chelsea
24%
Leeds United AFC
9%
Southampton
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Manchester City's 65.5% implied probability as FA Cup winner stems from their second-place Premier League standing, squad depth, and commanding 4-0 quarter-final rout of Liverpool, bolstered by a favorable semi-final matchup against Championship side Southampton at Wembley on April 25. Chelsea's 23.5% reflects their dominant 7-0 thrashing of Port Vale and strong recent form, positioning them as favorites over Leeds United in the April 26 semi. Leeds (8.8%) and Southampton (2.3%) earned spots via gritty upsets—Leeds over West Ham, Saints 2-1 versus Arsenal—but traders' consensus favors the top-flight giants' experience and firepower in the knockout stages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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