Spain holds a slim edge as trader consensus favorite at 17.3% implied probability following the FIFA World Cup 2026 final draw and March playoff resolutions, bolstered by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and flawless European qualifying campaign where they topped their group undefeated. France trails closely at 16.3%, reflecting squad depth led by Mbappé despite minor qualifier stumbles, while England's 11.1% underscores recent form gains post-draw placement. The race stays tight amid a 48-team expanded field, with 16 UEFA powerhouses like Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands qualified alongside CONMEBOL leaders Argentina and Brazil, plus host advantages for USA, Canada, and Mexico in group stage and knockouts—any injury or matchup shift could reshape paths to the final.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 17.3%
Francia 16.3%
Inghilterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.8%
$656,259,482 Vol.
$656,259,482 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Portogallo
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
3%
Norvegia
2%
Giappone
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Marocco
2%
Stati Uniti
1%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Turchia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canada
1%
Austria
1%
Svezia
1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Cezchia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Panama
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Spagna 17.3%
Francia 16.3%
Inghilterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.8%
$656,259,482 Vol.
$656,259,482 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Portogallo
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
3%
Norvegia
2%
Giappone
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Marocco
2%
Stati Uniti
1%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Turchia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canada
1%
Austria
1%
Svezia
1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Cezchia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Panama
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain holds a slim edge as trader consensus favorite at 17.3% implied probability following the FIFA World Cup 2026 final draw and March playoff resolutions, bolstered by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and flawless European qualifying campaign where they topped their group undefeated. France trails closely at 16.3%, reflecting squad depth led by Mbappé despite minor qualifier stumbles, while England's 11.1% underscores recent form gains post-draw placement. The race stays tight amid a 48-team expanded field, with 16 UEFA powerhouses like Germany, Portugal, and Netherlands qualified alongside CONMEBOL leaders Argentina and Brazil, plus host advantages for USA, Canada, and Mexico in group stage and knockouts—any injury or matchup shift could reshape paths to the final.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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