Patrick Mahomes' ongoing ACL rehabilitation from a season-ending 2025 injury has created uncertainty for his Week 1 availability, positioning him as trader consensus favorite at 45.5% implied probability despite his long-term contract restructure freeing $43 million in cap space. The Chiefs' March trade for Justin Fields from the Jets—acquiring an experienced mobile backup for a 2027 sixth-round pick—has elevated Fields to 26%, with Andy Reid confirming his readiness to start if needed during the NFL owners' meetings. Gardner Minshew's departure to the Cardinals on a one-year deal dropped his odds to 20.9%, while internal option Chris Oladokun at 14.9% reflects practice squad potential amid depth concerns, and Joe Flacco trails at 7.5% as a veteran free-agent possibility. This closely contested market underscores rehab timelines, roster moves, and injury report volatility heading into OTAs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPatrick Mahomes 46%
Gardner Minshew 20.9%
Chris Oladokun 13.6%
Joe Flacco 5.0%
$12,169 Vol.
$12,169 Vol.
Patrick Mahomes
46%
Gardner Minshew
21%
Chris Oladokun
14%
Joe Flacco
7%
Justin Fields
26%
Patrick Mahomes 46%
Gardner Minshew 20.9%
Chris Oladokun 13.6%
Joe Flacco 5.0%
$12,169 Vol.
$12,169 Vol.
Patrick Mahomes
46%
Gardner Minshew
21%
Chris Oladokun
14%
Joe Flacco
7%
Justin Fields
26%
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes' ongoing ACL rehabilitation from a season-ending 2025 injury has created uncertainty for his Week 1 availability, positioning him as trader consensus favorite at 45.5% implied probability despite his long-term contract restructure freeing $43 million in cap space. The Chiefs' March trade for Justin Fields from the Jets—acquiring an experienced mobile backup for a 2027 sixth-round pick—has elevated Fields to 26%, with Andy Reid confirming his readiness to start if needed during the NFL owners' meetings. Gardner Minshew's departure to the Cardinals on a one-year deal dropped his odds to 20.9%, while internal option Chris Oladokun at 14.9% reflects practice squad potential amid depth concerns, and Joe Flacco trails at 7.5% as a veteran free-agent possibility. This closely contested market underscores rehab timelines, roster moves, and injury report volatility heading into OTAs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti