Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) being arrested again by April 30, as the deadline passed without any verified reports of a second detention following his March 28 misdemeanor battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, from which he was quickly released on bond. This high confidence stems from the absence of new criminal incidents despite his high-profile "looksmaxxing" streamer's chaotic orbit—including a mid-April suspected overdose hospitalization in Miami and a late-April civil lawsuit alleging battery, fraud, and underage misconduct by teen influencer Aleksandra Vasilevna Mendoza, which remains unproven and non-criminal. Realistic upsets are now negligible post-resolution, though a disputed late report could prompt oracle review; traders' skin-in-the-game wisdom prioritizes confirmed public records over rumors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoClavicular arrested again by April 30?
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
$7,216 Vol.
$7,216 Vol.
30 apr 2026
$7,216 Vol.
$7,216 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) being arrested again by April 30, as the deadline passed without any verified reports of a second detention following his March 28 misdemeanor battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, from which he was quickly released on bond. This high confidence stems from the absence of new criminal incidents despite his high-profile "looksmaxxing" streamer's chaotic orbit—including a mid-April suspected overdose hospitalization in Miami and a late-April civil lawsuit alleging battery, fraud, and underage misconduct by teen influencer Aleksandra Vasilevna Mendoza, which remains unproven and non-criminal. Realistic upsets are now negligible post-resolution, though a disputed late report could prompt oracle review; traders' skin-in-the-game wisdom prioritizes confirmed public records over rumors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,216Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) being arrested again by April 30, as the deadline passed without any verified reports of a second detention following his March 28 misdemeanor battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, from which he was quickly released on bond. This high confidence stems from the absence of new criminal incidents despite his high-profile "looksmaxxing" streamer's chaotic orbit—including a mid-April suspected overdose hospitalization in Miami and a late-April civil lawsuit alleging battery, fraud, and underage misconduct by teen influencer Aleksandra Vasilevna Mendoza, which remains unproven and non-criminal. Realistic upsets are now negligible post-resolution, though a disputed late report could prompt oracle review; traders' skin-in-the-game wisdom prioritizes confirmed public records over rumors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,216Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on "No" for Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters) being arrested again by April 30, as the deadline passed without any verified reports of a second detention following his March 28 misdemeanor battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, from which he was quickly released on bond. This high confidence stems from the absence of new criminal incidents despite his high-profile "looksmaxxing" streamer's chaotic orbit—including a mid-April suspected overdose hospitalization in Miami and a late-April civil lawsuit alleging battery, fraud, and underage misconduct by teen influencer Aleksandra Vasilevna Mendoza, which remains unproven and non-criminal. Realistic upsets are now negligible post-resolution, though a disputed late report could prompt oracle review; traders' skin-in-the-game wisdom prioritizes confirmed public records over rumors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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