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Politica·Primarie

CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Manny Rutinel 82%

Shannon Bird 11%

Dave Young 2.2%

Yadira Caraveo 1.3%

Polymarket

$14,161 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 82%

Shannon Bird 11%

Dave Young 2.2%

Yadira Caraveo 1.3%

Polymarket

$14,161 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$9,091 Vol.

82%

Shannon Bird

$1,542 Vol.

11%

Dave Young

$1,198 Vol.

2%

Yadira Caraveo

$641 Vol.

1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$930 Vol.

1%

John Szemler

$760 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 82% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his commanding fundraising lead—$1.76 million cash-on-hand in the latest FEC filing—and a $50,000 digital ad buy launched April 13 attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's ICE votes and immigration record. Republican NRCC ads spotlighting Rutinel as the "radical" frontrunner have amplified his momentum amid intra-party tensions, including Bird's criticized "no" votes on key Democratic bills. Bird trails at 10.5% with endorsements from Emily's List and local PACs like Farmers Union, while minor challengers like Weld County Commissioner Dave Young (2.2%), ex-Rep. Yadira Caraveo (1.3%, after September 2025 withdrawal), Amie Baca-Oehlert (0.8%), and John Szemler (0.2%) lag in resources and visibility. Ballots mail June 8 in this battleground district flipped by GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in 2024.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,161
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 82% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his commanding fundraising lead—$1.76 million cash-on-hand in the latest FEC filing—and a $50,000 digital ad buy launched April 13 attacking former Rep. Shannon Bird's ICE votes and immigration record. Republican NRCC ads spotlighting Rutinel as the "radical" frontrunner have amplified his momentum amid intra-party tensions, including Bird's criticized "no" votes on key Democratic bills. Bird trails at 10.5% with endorsements from Emily's List and local PACs like Farmers Union, while minor challengers like Weld County Commissioner Dave Young (2.2%), ex-Rep. Yadira Caraveo (1.3%, after September 2025 withdrawal), Amie Baca-Oehlert (0.8%), and John Szemler (0.2%) lag in resources and visibility. Ballots mail June 8 in this battleground district flipped by GOP Rep. Gabe Evans in 2024.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,161
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Manny Rutinel" a 82%, seguito da "Shannon Bird" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 82¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" ha generato $14.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è "Manny Rutinel" a 82%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Shannon Bird" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.