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Politica·Paesi Bassi

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Market icon
Politica·Paesi Bassi

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

18% probabilità
Polymarket

$10,535 Vol.

18% probabilità
Polymarket

$10,535 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82.5% implied probability against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026, driven by the successful formation of a new centrist minority coalition government comprising D66, VVD, and CDA, sworn in on February 23 under Prime Minister Rob Jetten. This followed the October 2025 snap election after the prior right-wing coalition's collapse over migration policy in June 2025. Despite lacking a parliamentary majority and requiring opposition support for legislation, the government has shown initial stability, with no no-confidence votes or major disputes reported. Recent diplomatic engagements, including Jetten's April 14 meeting with the UK prime minister, underscore operational continuity absent triggers for early elections under the four-year term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,535
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82.5% implied probability against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026, driven by the successful formation of a new centrist minority coalition government comprising D66, VVD, and CDA, sworn in on February 23 under Prime Minister Rob Jetten. This followed the October 2025 snap election after the prior right-wing coalition's collapse over migration policy in June 2025. Despite lacking a parliamentary majority and requiring opposition support for legislation, the government has shown initial stability, with no no-confidence votes or major disputes reported. Recent diplomatic engagements, including Jetten's April 14 meeting with the UK prime minister, underscore operational continuity absent triggers for early elections under the four-year term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,535
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 18% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 18¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 18% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" ha generato $10.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 28, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" è 18% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 18% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.